Archive for the ‘politics/finance Today’ Category
Conversation with Julian Assange: Conducted by Hans Ulrich Obrist
The professions of my parents were in theater, and I moved to over 50 cities in Australia of the 70,s and attended 37 schools in rural areas. You can imagine Tom Sawyer in this modern time: I rode horses, explored caves, dived and did motorcyclist….
In Adelaide, my mother helped whisk out nuclear documents of the British testing site in Maralinga. At the age of 15 I started decoding systems meant to preventing the dissemination of open programs.
Before the advent of Internet, Australia was kind living in the outback and it was a pleasure to discover the outside world and get inside the Pentagon archives of the 8th Air Force, (the strategic nuclear air force in the USA).
At 17, I had founded an underground magazine and the Federal police rounded us. I had already set the foundation for Australia Internet using a provider that I created. I used cryptography and mathematics to protect my sources and get inside systems.
You see, there are three kinds of information: Knowledge disseminated by schooling systems, books, and manuscripts that are slowly degrading and in the way out of circulation; information related to the economic industrial functioning of societies such as the “know how” of hydraulic systems …which are protected by lobbies; and the third type of information that are actively censored and prevented from entering the public domain. “The secret type of information” is a serious handicap for a just, fair, and intelligent interaction among communities.
Until I was 20 of age, I was basically a hacker continuing his university studies in Melbourne. I edited an underground magazine called “International Subversive”. In that period, every developed State had its own Internet system and its own network, but they were not interconnected. For example, you had Arpanet and Well in the US connecting universities, and X.25 connecting telecommunication industries, QSD in France, Altos in Germany…We were a very restricted community of hackers, scientists, and people in power; we were young, active, and motivated and we invested the embryonic internet.
Our phones were bugged and we witnessed six years of legal prosecutions in the US, England and Australia. We were mostly young geniuses with the faculty of easy adaptation to this newer intellectual horizon, even though many of us did not finish formal higher education. I was inspired by the book of Alexander Solzhenitsyn “The God of darkness”, Louis Fischer, Arthur Koestler, Ignazio Silone, Stephen Spender, Richard Wright and the Black Panthers radical traditions.
1994 witnessed the apogee of the micro-movement “Cypherpunk” (decoding punk). True hackers disliked the absurd term of cyberpunk. The “Cypherpunk” community were mostly from California, Europe and Australia and we had understood the nature of the power relation among individuals and States, mainly based on the science of cryptography. We had no founding members or a guiding philosophy, but had starting principles originating from John Young, Eric Hughes, and Timothy C. May…We formed circles of discussion and we had this concept that with talents in mathematics and programming we can empower individuals to confront the power of States, to say No to public power. We could code and decode as efficiently as States could. WikiLeaks was a combination of various ideas circulated during the discussion groups. The economic feasibility in internet communication was not exorbitant to start a internet-type enterprise.
There was abundance of information and the critical problem was “which piece of intelligence is worth saving and analyzing even further”? We discovered that information with “feeble light” (not widely diffused) must have been undergoing economic censorship to take out of the public domain, thus, highly important to State powers and affecting the safety and stability of the regular people.
Once a State or institution endeavor to censor anything, it means the power-to-be feels threatened by the information. Unless most power relationships are transformed by financial interests, political censorship will be highly dangerous. Thus, free expression and free gathering are dangerous to political ideological systems.
Note: Hans Ulrich Obrist is an artist from Switzerland and organizes biennial in Vienna and Berlin. He is the director of international projects at the Serpentine Gallery in London.
The Lesser Depression? Who is Paul Krugman?
“You do not know, my son, with how little wisdom the world is governed.”
Paul Krugman published an article on July 21, 2011 in The New York Times. Krugman is a Nobel laureate in economics and has been frequently explaining the current world financial problems. I will exhibit a few extracts with my own editing style, and develop my comments.
“These are interesting times, in the worst way. We are currently looking at not one, but two looming crises, either of which could produce a global disaster. In the United States, right-wing fanatics in Congress may block a necessary rise in the debt ceiling, potentially wreaking havoc in world financial markets. Meanwhile, if the plan just agreed to by European heads of State fails to calm markets, we could see falling dominoes all across southern Europe — which would also wreak havoc in world financial markets.”
“In fact, policy makers seem determined to perpetuate what I’ve taken to calling the Lesser Depression, the prolonged era of high unemployment that began with the Great Recession of 2007-2009 and continues to this day, more than two years after the recession supposedly ended. Why our economies are (still) so depressed.
The great housing bubble of the last decade, which was both an American and a European phenomenon, was accompanied by a huge rise in household debt. When the bubble burst, home construction plunged, and so did consumer spending as debt-burdened families cut back.
Everything might still have been bearable if other major economic players had stepped up their spending, filling the gap left by the housing plunge and the consumer pullback. But nobody did. In particular, cash-rich corporations see no reason to invest that cash in the face of weak consumer demand.
Nor did governments do much to help. Some governments — those of weaker nations in Europe, and State and local governments here — were actually forced to slash spending in the face of falling revenues. And the modest efforts of stronger governments — including the Obama stimulus plan — were, at best, barely enough to offset this forced austerity. So we have depressed economies. What are policy makers proposing to do about it? Less than nothing.
The disappearance of unemployment from elite policy discourse and its replacement by deficit panic has been truly remarkable. It’s not a response to public opinion. In a recent CBS News/New York Times poll, 53 percent of the public named the economy and jobs as the most important problem we face, while only 7 percent named the deficit. Nor is it a response to market pressure. Interest rates on U.S. debt remains near historic lows.
Yet the conversations in Washington and Brussels are all about spending cuts (and maybe tax increases, I mean revisions). That’s obviously true about the various proposals being floated to resolve the debt-ceiling crisis here. But it’s equally true in Europe.
On Thursday, the “heads of State or governments of the euro area and the E.U. institutions” — that mouthful tells you, all by itself, how messy European governance has become — issued their big statement. It wasn’t reassuring. For one thing, it’s hard to believe that the “Rube Goldberg statement” can really resolve the Greek crisis, let alone the wider European crisis.
But, even if it does, then what? The statement calls for sharp deficit reductions “in all countries except those under a program” to take place “by 2013 at the latest.” Since those countries “under a program” are being forced into drastic fiscal austerity, this amounts to a plan to have all of Europe slash spending at the same time. And there is nothing in the European data suggesting that the private sector will be ready to take up the slack in less than two years.
For those who know their 1930s history, this is all too familiar. If either of the current debt negotiations fails, we could be about to replay 1931, the global banking collapse that made the Great Depression great. But, if the negotiations succeed, we will be set to replay the great mistake of 1937: The premature turn to fiscal contraction that derailed economic recovery and ensured that the Depression would last, until World War II finally provided the boost the economy needed. The European Central Bank seems determined to make things even worse by raising interest rates.
The lack of wisdom is on full display, as policy elites on both sides of the Atlantic bungle the response to economic trauma, ignoring all the lessons of history. And the Lesser Depression goes on.” (End of quote)
I am wondering: What if Congress agrees to raise the ceiling of the debt? How the US government used to pay off, in the first place, the nominal portion of its dept? It is not through the surplus of its economic activities, or the savings of the citizens, or the slashing of military spending…
The US has been borrowing heavily by encouraging foreign State governments, which managed to save money, into purchasing US Treasury Bills and bonds. Currently, this mechanism of relying on foreign savings is not working, and the Federal Reserve has been manufacturing money and lending it to the US government to cover short-term and urgent immediate deficit.
The dollar has been effectively being devalued consistently by 10% per year since 1945, and this rate in devaluation is increasing rapidly since 2007.
Do you realize what a deficit amounting to 14 trillion means? It is more than the total worth of France, if sold stock, lock, and land. Imagine thousand of years of labor by millions of “French people” to sustaining a country, who could not accumulate enough wealth to pay off the US public deficit!
All these economic and financial decisions are meant to buy short-term leverage, before the inevitable global crisis fall on our head, very shortly. How can the US people pay-off this huge deficit if not by “creating a preemptive global war”, as were the cases in 1914 and 1939?
The US has nothing much to offer economically for stabilizing world economy and finances. What Europe needs from the US are two things:
First, releasing the huge ammunition reserves for resuming the small-scale preemptive wars in Libya and the potential unstable regimes around the Mediterranean Sea and parts of Africa. It is the abundance of the US military hardware and ammunition that is making NATO organization an acceptable agreement to the EU.
Second, the EU hopes that the dollar will maintain its global status for a couple of years before a basket of currencies is agreed upon. What else the US can be of any help for the time being?
These spring uprising of youth movements around the world have a common denominator: “We want to have a direct say in public decisions”
Posted July 17, 2011on:
Israel is announcing to World Community: “I am ready for another preemptive war. Back me up!”
Do you believe the State of Israel had ever a positive, peaceful, and happy announcement to communicate to the outside world? You have the impression that the successive governments in Israel are plagued with very depressive conditions: The only way out for Israel’s governments to vent their anger and insecure internal situations is to have some fun waging another preemptive war; it does not matter who is the enemy.
You have this constant impression that Israel oligarchy ruling the military infrastructure, production of military hardware, and export of military materials is the supreme institution in the State of Israel. When this military oligarchy (constituted of former defense ministers and Chief-of Staffs, and financial institution leaders), wants to test its products and encourage export of machines of death, “civil” governments are just facade, and its sole role is disseminating lame excuses and preparing the world community to expect another preemptive war!
Have you noticed that only Israel and the superpowers with veto “rights” in the UN security council wage preemptive wars and never pay restitution for illegal aggressions and occupations ? Is it why they keep waging “preemptive wars”?
In the last two months, Israel has been declaring its readiness to go to war. Who is this Ban Kee Moon? Is he the secretary general of the UN who was re-appointed for another term to “lead” the world community and establish peace, preserving human rights, investigating the progress of the UN indicators for human development?
Shouldn’t Ban Kee Moon respond to Israel threats for destabilizing world community? Shouldn’t Ban Kee Moon take the podium and warn Israel that “enough is enough!?” That the Palestinians in Gaza are living in an open vast concentration camp, and this condition is not within the human rights obligation of a State recognized by the UN? Shouldn’t Ban Kee Moon work relentlessly to drum up a support campaign for the establishment of a Palestinian State?
Israel massacred over 100 peaceful Palestinians, using snipers, against Palestinian demonstrators on the borders for their rights of return, guaranteed by the UN in 1948. What did this Ban Kee Moon said? “We urge all concerned parties to keep calm and refrain of violence” Israel repeated its feat and killed 300 peaceful Palestinian demonstrators the next week .
What did this Ban Kee Moon said? “We urge all concerned parties to keep calm and refrain of violence!” When Israel killed 9 peaceful civilians on “Freedom 1″ boats heading to Gaza, what do you think this Ban Kee Moon said? “We are waiting for Israel “independent report” on the killing… and we urge all concerned parties to keep calm and refrain of violence”
Israel is serious about launching its nth preemptive war, early this September for several reasons:
First, Israel knows that war (the only activity that Israel did better than anything else, before the 2006 war) is the best diplomatic means to delaying the establishment of a Palestinian State: A war before the UN vote will delay the issue and Israel will gain more time for proving that a Palestinian State is a geo-political non-feasibility…
Second, Israel will try again, using a different military strategy to weakening the military might of Hezbollah. Hezbollah is the most scary enemy to Israel because no system can destroy short and medium-range missiles, landing by the hundreds on cities, towns, airfields, and military infrastructure and production complexes…
Third, Israel will coax Syria to respond and take the initiative to demolishing the regime security forces centers, and headquarter of Bashar al Assad. Consequently, facilitating regime change and weakening the strategic links of Iran in that region.
Fourth, Israel is about to get the green light for that preemptive war from the US and Turkey. This triumvirate has reached an agreement that the Moslem Brotherhood political parties sharing power in Egypt and Syria is good to business and stability.
Iran wishes that Israel will refrain from coaxing the Syrian regime into a war, simply because any war with Syria will change the name of the game with its strategic ally. Iran wants to agree with the US, China, and Russia that the most plausible alternative in the short-term is a resumption of benign insurgencies, and the Syrian regime not going overboard with its repressions.
I believe Israel beg to foolishly differ with Iran’s wishes: Israel military infrastructure and production is the strongest catalyst for engaging in preemptive wars: It is good for business and for the military budget in periods of internal crisis.
Lebanon will endure harsh periods whether Bashar regime succeed or fail. Especially, if a civil war sweeps Syria: Lebanon social structure is so drastically divisive. Would the new Lebanese government take seriously the imminent next preemptive war and vigorously coordinate the defensive strategy among the resistance, the army, and the people?
Frankly, what may delay the preemptive war in early September is a strong stand by Egypt (State and people) and a change of regime in Syria. No matter what Israel proclaim about its main enemy, it is Egypt that scares most Israel! I believe, this time around, a preemptive war launched by Israel will be catastrophic to this Zionist State, economically, politically, and militarily.
Definite political and social changes will get roots in the Middle-East. “An Arab Autumn Revolt” will spread its fire and seeds for freedom and democratic systems. It is plausible that Israel might advance its D-Day if Syria tanks enter Hama: Thus, fomenting a civil war that was not forthcoming.