Adonis Diaries

The Six Day War and Israeli Lies: What I Saw at the CIA

By Melvin A. Goodman, CounterPunch

On too many occasions in U.S. history, the use of force has been justified with either corrupt intelligence or just plain lies.

Such was the case in the Mexican-American War; the Spanish-American War; the Vietnam War; and the 2003 Iraq War…

The checks and balances that were needed to prevent the misuse of intelligence were not operative, and Presidents Polk, McKinley, Johnson, and Bush deceived the American people, the U.S. Congress, and the press.

In 1967, Israeli officials at the highest level lied to the White House about the start of the Six-Day War. (And do you believe that USA administration was actually deceived?)

As a junior analyst at the CIA, I helped to draft the report that described Israel’s attack against Egypt on the morning of June 5, 1967.  There were sensitive communications intercepts that documented Israeli preparations for an attack, and no evidence of an Egyptian battle plan.

The Israelis had been clamoring about indications of Egyptian preparations for an invasion, but we had no sign of Egyptian readiness in terms of its air or armored power.  The assumption was that the Israelis were engaging in disinformation in order to gain U.S. support.

My own view was that Egypt would be unlikely to start a war with Israel while half of its army was tied down fighting in a civil war in Yemen.  CIA’s Arabists believed that Egyptian President Nasser was bluffing, and cited the low quality of Cairo’s military equipment.

Walt Rostow meets with President Johnson in the Oval Office. Rostow played down US intelligence estimates in favor of what turned out to be Israeli lies.

We were therefore shocked when President Johnson’s national security adviser, Walt Rostow, refused to accept our intelligence assessment on the Israeli attack.  Rostow cited “assurances” from the Israeli ambassador in Washington that under no circumstances would the Israelis attack first.

Over the protests of Israeli defense minister Moshe Dayan, the Israeli government lied to the White House about how the war started.  President Johnson was told that the Egyptians had initiated firing on Israeli settlements and that an Egyptian squadron had been observed heading toward Israeli. Neither statement was true.

As a result, our report describing surprise Israeli attacks against Egyptian, Jordanian, and Syrian airfields encountered a hostile response from the National Security Council.  Fortunately, CIA director Richard Helms supported our assessment, and the National Military Command Center corroborated the report as well.

Rostow summoned Clark Clifford, chairman of the President’s Foreign Advisory Board and a leading NSC Arabist Hal Saunders to examine our analysis, and both men provided corroboration.

In addition to lying to the White House about the start of the war, Israeli military officers lied to the American ambassador to Israel, Walworth Barbour, about non-existent Egyptian military movements.

The CIA, meanwhile, had the benefit of satellite photography that showed Egyptian planes parked on airfields wingtip-to-wingtip, which pointed to no plan to attack.

Twenty years later, I learned that a confident of the president, Harry McPherson, was in Israel at the start of the war and accompanied Ambassador Barbour to the meeting with Prime Minister Eshkol.

When Israeli air raid sirens began to wail during the meeting, Israeli intelligence chief General Aharon Yariv assured everyone there was no need to move to an underground bunker.  If we had this information in 1967, it would have corroborated our analysis that the Israelis had destroyed more than 200 Egyptian planes on the ground.

Israeli forces attacked the USS Liberty on June 8, 1967, killing 34 and injuring over 170.

In addition to lying about the start of the war, the Israelis were even more deceitful three days later when they attributed their malicious attack on the USS Liberty to a random accident. 

If so, it was a well planned accident.  The ship was a U.S. intelligence vessel in international waters, both slow-moving and lightly armed.  It brandished a five-foot-by-eight-foot Stars and Stripes in the midday sun, and didn’t resemble a ship in any other navy, let alone a ship in the arsenal of one of Israel’s enemies. Yet the Israelis claimed that they believed they were attacking an Egyptian ship.

The Israeli attack took place after six hours of intense, low-level reconnaissance.  It was conducted over a two-hour period by unmarked Mirage jets using cannons and rockets. 

Israeli boats fired machine guns at close range at those helping the wounded, then machine-gunned the life rafts that survivors dropped in hope of abandoning the ship.  The NSA investigation of the disaster remains classified to this day.

Note: It is about time that the US citizens stop believing that the press, congress and Presidents were fooled and lied to in every expansionist/ pre-emptive wars


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Tidbits and Notes. Part 272

L’indigence ne se calcule pas en chiffre pres: seuls les riches ont des comptables.

Laws change, but the perspective on an issue lives longer. Stay within the law and keep elaborating on the perspective: daydreaming saves you from the current morass

Je lis “La’ ou’ le temps commence et ne finit pas” par Gisele Kayata Eid ( la soeur de la recente defunte Emilie Nasallah). J’adore comme elle decrit L’Afrique: le Togo

“The power of intuitive understanding will protect you from harm until the end of your days”. -Lao Tzu. Does it means reflective knowledge and training your experimental mind?

Since 2006, Israel has become a liability to USA administration. With Israel and colonial powers failure in Syria, Israel has become a total liability. The USA and Israel are living in a Bubble of faked news and misinformation: All the people in the Middle-East, including the leeches of leaders, know by now that Israel is our existential enemy and is declining quickly.

Hundreds of thousands of people are expected to turn out for Saturday’s march in London, as the prospect of a no-deal Brexit draws dangerously close. Protesters call for a second Brexit referendum. 

“Votre attitude demontre que vous n’etes pas totalement soumis: Donc, on impose des sanctions economique pour toute la population”

Several notable Democratic presidential candidates will skip the pro-Israel lobby group’s three-day conference, which begins Sunday in Washington.

Italy signs a Belt and Road deal with China, the first major democracy to join China’s global infrastructure plan (meaning Greece is Not that major in the democratic State), despite US opposition and concerns from other EU nations about growing Chinese clout in the region.

Indonesia  Airline Garuda scrapped its massive Boeing order for 49 Boeing 737 Max 8s. (Boeing never deemed it relevant to warn pilots of the deficiency in its computer system that take control over the pilot manual decisions)

18th- and 19th-century English wives were “sold” for a variety of payments and beer–by the pint, quart, and gallon–was the most common currency. When divorce was off the table, English couples dissolved their marriages with beer.

Urologists report a surge in the “procedure” during the US college basketball tournament, when men can binge watch at home with ice packs in hand. March Madness is vasectomy month.

The main factor that allowed Israel to be created and survive for a century is that the people in the region were still under the culture (habit) of living the day. They refused to take this nascent colonial implant seriously. As they immigrate, the are faced with this shock: Tomorrow is as important as today and then they succeed. Things are turning around: the Syrian people are planning the future in detail.

While a financial multinational threatens with embargo the less developed States, supported by its powerful government, it really don’t give a damn of the citizens of its original country: Money and profit have no restrictive citizens or smelling race. Money and profit  have no standard particular social value.

California suspends the death penalty. Governor Gavin Newsom will grant a reprieve to the state’s 737 condemned inmates.

George Pell, the most senior Roman Catholic leader, found guilty of sexual abuse. He was sentenced to six years for child sex abuse. The Australian cardinal and former adviser to Pope Francis was convicted in December of molesting choir boys more than two decades ago.

Bacteria adapt quickly to their surroundings, like in dry food

One-tenth of the world’s digital ad fraud originates in India. It costs the industry $1.6 billion.

Dalal Farah Baird, She did it Her Way

Posted on February 6, 2013 by Noor Harb,
Dalal Farah Baird, born in Damascus and raised in Zahleh (Wadi El Arayesh), is the mother of two daughters, and she has suffered the loss of her youngest one, Nadia.  Dalal has however chosen to turn her suffering into creativity and her loss into action.
Her first art exhibition at the Artwork Shop in Hamra, Beirut was titled “Cell-Abration” in memory of Nadia.

Dalal Farah Baird, She did it Her Way“I can remember you and only that you’re gone Or I can cherish your memory and let it live on”

“I chose not to sit in the corner and feel sorry for myself, but to go on doing what she wanted me to do; I chose to celebrate Nadia’s life instead of mourn her loss”.

Despite the challenges that she faced in life, Dalal was able to wear different hats and adapt quickly to all situations no matter their color.  Upon the start of the civil war in Lebanon, Dalal moved with The Ford Foundation to Aleppo, Syria where the organization started operating from.

It was tough times being away from her sick mother and at times not able to communicate with her family in Zahleh to find out whether they were still alive.

Life went on for Dalal the chameleon “I married an English man and lived in Beirut for a while until it was no longer safe as they were kidnapping westerners at that time. I got pregnant with Amanda so we moved to London, lived there for a while and then relocated to Istanbul, Turkey where we lived for 2 years.  The decision then came to migrate to Australia were we lived in different cities (Perth, Brisbane, South Coast and Sydney)”.

Dalal got pregnant for the second time, conceived another beautiful daughter, Nadia whom she named after her mother.

“Things did not work out with my husband and we divorced.  I raised the two girls on my own. This was quite challenging since you have to deal with both cultures: Lebanese and Australian.  I was raised on values which were considered uptight or “uncool” by my kids who adopted the western way of life”.

Being a parent, let alone a single parent did not change the nature of Dalal. She remained a chameleon changing and re-inventing herself.

She gave her girls unconditional love and while allowing them some freedom, she always emphasized that she trusted them.  Instead of turning off an unhealthy Television show the girls were watching, she would sit and watch it with them so she knows what ideas were being planted in their heads and so that she knows how to channel these ideas.

Dalal was a loving mother, and a smart father, who raised her daughters to be independent and encouraged them to explore what life has to offer.

As Dalal became stronger, life became tougher.

Dalal had to accept a job offer in Papua New Guinea and had to leave her teenage daughters alone: “I left the girls on their own.  It wasn’t easy although they were responsible girls. I used to ring my daughters every night, and visit them every 3 months.

That tortured me but I had no option. Years later I had to apologize to them because they had it tough.”

Dalal was prepared for life at a very young age, and was fully aware of the unlucky events that present themselves for every human being. She thought she was fully immune to all of life’s hardships and that her belief system will help her overcome life’s challenges; nothing however could prepare a mother for the loss of her child.

Nadia was a bright student and very much loved by both students and teachers.  She was 23 years old studying media and journalism in England, and she was due to receive the Ernest Petrie scholarship the day after she passed away.

She suffered from epilepsy but ironically her death was caused by suffocation as a result of a seizure. “Her time was up”.

I heard this in movie Nadia and it made me think of you. A shooting star is wonderful.  When it shoots across the sky it lights the whole world up and the other stars just stop and stare.

Shooting stars are only here for a brief moment but those that get to see one never forget and their spirit is forever touched.” Wrote Anna-Belen Fernandez

Dalal had to camouflage into yet another color, a color that has no light, a color that everyone fears, the color BLACK.

Here is why the story of Dalal is a story everyone can learn from and get inspired by.   Dalal was devastated at her daughter’s death but she couldn’t allow herself to mourn and be paralyzed.  She chose instead to celebrate Nadia’s life.

The eulogy was turned into a celebration were Dalal focused on how lucky she was having Nadia for 23 years, and how lucky she was being her mother for 23 years.

That same year, Dalal went with her eldest daughter Amanda to Barcelona (as it was previously planned to visit Nadia while she was there as an exchange student).  “We decided to go ahead with our plans as if she was still alive. I still sign the cards with the three names Dalal, Amanda and Nadia.”

There Dalal visited Picasso and Dali’s museums. She came back inspired, picked up the brush and started painting again. Dalal called her paintings “The Rainy Nights”.

“I had stopped painting after my divorce, but Nadia always encouraged me to try again, so I picked up the brush and I painted after her death.”

Dalal took the path less traveled, which made her an artist whose art belongs to everyone, and the philosophy behind it to the only ones who reveal it.   Her first art exhibition at the Artwork Shop in Hamra, Beirut was titled “Cell-Abration” in memory of Nadia.

“I could’ve focused on what happened to me and it would have made me miserable but I am grateful to have Amanda whose strong character has inspired me and helped me carry on.   I decided instead to monitor my thoughts and choose the positive ones.

It is easier said than done and it takes guts to unlearn old habits that no longer serve us and to make room for learning new things, but it works.

Our cells receive orders from our thoughts and react accordingly. Why make our life miserable and have health problems when we can control all of that?”

Looks like there’s more to this chameleon than just changing colors; for somewhere in the heart of black a rainbow bloomed with all its brightest shades. Through her art troubles melted like lemon drops and Dalal bloomed like Cherry blossoms in an everlasting spring.

Noor Harb

Note: The melody of Frank Sinatra “I did it my way” was borrowed from the french song “Comme d’habitude” by Claude Francois

Articles of Leader Antoun Saadi. Part 16

مصطفى الأيوبيposted on Fb. 1 hr

تحيا سورية،

[…] العمل على ترقيع الحالات والتّكيّف بما ينطبق على كلّ أمر واقع هو “العمل الوطنيّ” العظيم الّذي تفهمه نفسيّة أغرقت في مثالب النّفسيّة الشّرقيّة. نفسيّة الكتل والتّحزّبات.

أمّا النّفسيّة السّوريّة القوميّة فتريد شيئًا غير التّرقيع وتعمل لتنفيذ إرادتها بكلّ عزيمة صادقة. إنّها تريد ما يليق بمقامها وما تراه مثالاً أعلى لها، فتسعى لتحقيقه وتبذل كلّ مرتخص وغال في سبيل تحقيقه، فلا تكلّ ولا تني ولا تقبل حلاً وسطًا، فإمّا بلوغ الغاية وإمّا لا شيء من هٰذه الحالات المتهرّئة الّتي يفضّلها الموت.


الحركة السّوريّة القوميّة تهتمّ بتحقيق وحدة الأمّة وتجنيد رجالها وتدريبهم وبحماية المصالح السّوريّة القوميّة وتنميتها والدّفاع عن سلامة وحدة الوطن وإعداد العدّة لإعادة ما سلبته الإرادات الأجنبيّة من أراضيه. وهي تترك “للوطنيين” وغير الوطنيين جمع التّبرّعات لترقيع حالة يائسة والتّصرّف بهٰذه التّبرّعات.


النّفسيّة السّوريّة القوميّة هي نفسيّة الانتصار. أمّا النّفسيّة اللاقوميّة فهي نفسيّة التّوفيق بين المجد والذّلّ وبئس التّوفيق!
سعاده

الأعمال الكاملة، الجزء 3، صفحة 422-420
“نفسيّتان تتصارعان”
عن “سورية الجديدة”، سان باولو، العدد 33، 1939/10/14
#إضاءة_اليوم

 

Palestinian citizens of Israel debate an election boycott

After four years of one of the most hostile governments for Palestinians in Israel, Arab citizens are debating whether participating in or boycotting the upcoming Knesset elections is the best way to advance their struggle.

By Henriette Chacar and Edo Konrad

Palestinian citizens of Israel and Jewish supporters protest against the Jewish Nation-State Law in Rabin Square, Tel Aviv, August 11, 2018. (Tomer Neuberg/Flash90)

Palestinian citizens of Israel and Jewish supporters protest against the Jewish Nation-State Law in Rabin Square, Tel Aviv, August 11, 2018. (Tomer Neuberg/Flash90)

Frustrated with the breakdown of internal Arab party politics, and beset by an endless stream of attacks by politicians from across the political spectrum, many Palestinian citizens of Israel are expressing reservations about voting in this week’s elections.

Despite a historically high voter participation rate, a small but prominent movement is urging Palestinian citizens to boycott the vote.

The fierce debate pits Palestinians calling to boycott elections against those who see participating in the political system as one of the few tools available to them for contesting Israel’s persecution of Palestinians — both the 20% of its population Israel calls a “demographic threat” and the millions of Palestinians in the occupied territories who live under Israeli rule but cannot vote.

The debate is as old as Israel itself.

But this year the calls to boycott have grown more prominent and heated than they have been in years. Activists have plastered posters across cities in Israel encouraging Palestinian citizens to stay home on Election Day, and prominent Palestinian politicians, journalists, and even hip hop stars have weighed in.

Palestinian hip hop star Tamer Nafar’s video on the boycott:

The ambivalence is striking, considering how electrified Palestinian citizens were in the run-up to the 2015 elections.

After the Israeli right raised the electoral threshold in an attempt to keep Palestinian parties out, the four major Palestinian parties united on a single ticket in order to survive. The Joint List promised to prioritize the needs of Israel’s Palestinian citizens after decades of division and political infighting. I

t was a watershed moment for Palestinians in Israel — the Joint List won 13 of the Knesset’s 120 seats, the most since the founding of the state.

The promise of unity, however, coincided with one of the most dangerous Israeli governments Palestinians citizens have ever seen.

The last Netanyahu government sought to demolish entire villages, upheld laws to enshrine ethnic and racial segregation, and incited a new wave of racism against Arab citizens.

Then, in June 2018, the Knesset passed the Jewish Nation-State Law, constitutionally enshrining Jewish supremacy in Israel. The crescendo came when the Joint List — which united Palestinian communists, Islamists, and nationalists — split in two.

“The minute they get more oppressive, we need to fight back even more strongly,” MK Aida Touma-Sliman from the Jewish-Arab Hadash party told +972 Magazine. The Palestinian community, as an “oppressed and persecuted minority,” needs to have representation in parliament, contended Touma-Sliman, if not to promote the rights and needs of Palestinians, then to “reveal the hypocrisy and the [government’s] racist approaches.”

“We are helping the general public understand that this is not democracy,” said Touma-Sliman.

Joint Arab List MK member Aida Touma-Sliman seen in the Israeli Knesset, November 21, 2017. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)

Joint Arab List MK member Aida Touma-Sliman seen in the Israeli Knesset, November 21, 2017. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)

Back to the drawing board

Nasreen Hadad Haj-Yahya, a social and political activist who lives in Taybeh, a small city in central Israel, believes that Palestinians abstaining from voting is what the right wing wants — “to pretend we don’t exist,” she explained. “Unfortunately, we’ve been delegitimized to such an extent that, today, even the left is willing to lose another round of elections rather than be associated with Arab voters.”

“I don’t blame [those boycotting the elections] because I know how difficult it is to vote when you know your ballot doesn’t mean anything,” said Hadad Haj-Yahya. Palestinians parties have always been in the opposition, which means they have never held any government positions, let alone any with much influence. “Morally, it’s very difficult to sit in a government that continues to oppress the Palestinian people in the West Bank and Gaza.”

This is precisely why Hadad Haj-Yahya opposes the boycott. “This hopelessness, the sense that we will never succeed — it only makes us weaker. We don’t have the privilege to throw our hands in the air and say we’ll wait and see what happens in this country. We must take matters into our own hands and try to promote our interests,” she argued.

But for Palestinians calling to boycott, the struggle is about something bigger than just toppling the government. They reject the very idea of participating in an institution that embodies Jewish supremacy.

“If I participate in Knesset elections, that means I give them legitimacy,” said Nizar Hawari, a social and political organizer from Tarshiha, a town in the Galilee. Hawari, who is 58, said she has been boycotting Knesset elections since she became eligible to vote. Not even the Joint List spurred her to vote, which she said united Palestinian voters with the promise of greater representation, not a political vision.

Palestinian Knesset members Ayman Odeh and Ahmad Tibi, February 21, 2019. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)

Palestinian Knesset members Ayman Odeh and Ahmad Tibi, February 21, 2019. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)

If anything, Hawari added, voting has only made things worse by stalling popular struggles and creating “an obstacle to the Palestinian national liberation project.”

To Hawari, the alternative is a return to local, grassroots mobilization. The boycott movement represents a political awakening that could re-energize the Palestinian public and “bring our struggle back to the drawing board.” The campaign shouldn’t end on Tuesday, she asserted, and boycotters should “translate our principles into continuous action.”

Boycotters have plastered posters across cities in Israel calling on Palestinian citizens not to participate in Israel’s “military democracy.” Some have banded together in a group calling itself the Popular Campaign to Boycott the Elections of the Zionist Knesset.

“The Jewish state deprives us of our civil rights, not because of a shortage of those who claim to represent us in the Knesset, but because they deal with us as a demographic problem,” a post on the group’s Facebook page from late February said.

The organizers behind the boycott campaign declined to be interviewed for this article.

“Arab political parties are engaging in Israel’s colonial system and are undermining the real basis for liberation from colonialism, through the development of an alternative that involves all political, social, and economic tools,” another post argued.

Voting in droves 

Despite what leaders across the political spectrum would have Jewish Israelis believe, Palestinian citizens have historically taken their citizenship and their right to vote seriously, said Hillel Cohen, who heads the Department of Islamic and Middle Eastern Studies at Hebrew University in Jerusalem.

In the 18 years following Israel’s establishment, the nascent state put those Palestinians who were able to remain in the country after the 1948 war under a military regime that restricted their freedom of movement and expropriated their land.

While some wanted to completely or partially disenfranchise the new Arab citizens, Cohen explained, Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion insisted they be given the right to vote, a decision he made partly in order to procure the support of the international community.

Ben-Gurion’s argument prevailed, said Cohen. And although the military government did not technically bar Arabs from voting, it severely interfered in the process, including by jailing or relocating activists in the run-up to elections.

The heads of the Arab city Umm al-Fahm, in the presence of Israeli military officials, sign an oath of allegiance to the State of Israel after the city came under Israeli control in the 1948 war. (GPO)

The heads of the Arab city Umm al-Fahm, in the presence of Israeli military officials, sign an oath of allegiance to the State of Israel after the city came under Israeli control in the 1948 war. (GPO)

At the same time, the Israeli leadership established a number of Arab satellite parties led by local leaders with strong ties to Mapai. Through those tightly-controlled parties, the government was able to ensure a high Arab voter turnout that would be a reliable source of support.

Average voter turnout among Palestinians hovered around 85 percent until the end of military rule. Yet even after they were no longer under the boot of the military government, Palestinians continued to participate in Israeli elections in relatively high numbers. In the late 1980s, Palestinian citizens formed the first non-satellite Arab parties, and in 1992 those independent Arab slates served as a parliamentary backing block to stabilize Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin’s minority government as he pushed the Oslo Accords through the Knesset.

Palestinian citizens have for the most part continued to participate in the democratic process over the years. However, Palestinian turnout took a plunge in the early 2000s after police shot dead 13 Palestinians — 12 of them citizens of Israel — in what has come to be known as the October 2000 events.

That often-deadly police violence, and lack of accountability, have profoundly shaped the Palestinian community in Israel in the years since. It took a decade and a half and the establishment of the Joint List to bring Palestinian voting numbers back to where they were before October 2000.

Thousands hold a funeral for Yacoub Abu al-Qi'an in the Bedouin village of Umm al-Hiran. Abu al-Qi'an was shot dead by police as security forces demolished homes in the village, January 24, 2017. (Keren Manor/Activestills.org)

Thousands hold a funeral for Yacoub Abu al-Qi’an in the Bedouin village of Umm al-Hiran. Abu al-Qi’an was shot dead by police as security forces demolished homes in the village, January 24, 2017. (Keren Manor/Activestills.org)

According to Yousef Makladeh, who heads Statnet, a research institute that focuses on Israel’s Arab community, that number may once again decrease on Election Day this year. Makladeh’s recent polling shows that only 55 percent of Palestinian citizens are planning to vote on Tuesday — down nine percentage points from 2015. Moreover, Makladeh said that while only 18 percent of Arab voters supported Zionist parties in the last election, his polls show that that number has increased to 30 percent.

“There are 940,000 Arabs eligible to vote in Israel,” Makladeh said. “When you look at the incitement against Palestinian citizens of Israel, which began with the wildfires in 2016, continued with the killing at Umm al-Hiran, and finally the Jewish Nation-State Law — all of these have pushed Palestinian citizens to stay home and not vote.” They no longer want to try and integrate into Israeli society, he added.

Meanwhile, over 70 percent of Arabs say they want their elected officials to be part of a governing coalition, which Makladeh explained was the result of their disillusionment with the Joint List. “Many Arab voters believe that the Joint List has not succeeded in improving their living conditions, that it has not helped put more food on their table. They have grown tired of them and now want practical politics.”

Could Lebanon be the richest “nation” per citizen?

The expenses accumulated just for renting buildings for the various institutions

Knowing that just in Beirut alone, the State own 235 parcels and buildings

نحن اغنى دولة في العالم
الله لا يوفقكم على هالهدر من جيبة المواطن.

كلفة المباني التي تستاجرها الدولة:

رئاسة مجلس الوزراء 300 مليون
ديوان المحاسبة 1.160 مليار
مجلس الخدمة المدنية 565 مليون
التفتيش المركزي 1.118 مليار

دوائر الإفتاء 130 مليون
المحاكم الشرعية السنية 527 مليون

المجلس الإسلامي الشيعي الأعلى 125 مليون
دوائر الإفتاء الجعفري 58 مليون
المحاكم الشرعية الجعفرية 817 مليون
المحاكم المذهبية الدرزية 200 مليون

الهيئة العليا للتأديب 30 مليون
إدارة الإحصاء المركزي 1.329 مليون
المديرية العامة لأمن الدولة 700 مليون
وزير الدولة لشؤون التنمية الإدارية 965 مليون
وزارة الخارجية والمغتربين 800 مليون

وزارة الخارجية والمغتربين – مبنى الإسكوا 11.7 مليار
وزارة الخارجية والمغتربين – البعثات في الخارج 24.5 مليار
المديرية العامة للمغتربين 549 مليون ليرة

وزارة العدل 624 مليون ليرة
المديرية العامة للشؤون السياسية واللاجئين في وزارة الداخلية 224 مليون ليرة
المديرية العامة لقوى الأمن الداخلي 905 مليون
المديرية العامة للأمن العام 1.055 مليار
المديرية العامة للأحوال الشخصية 81 مليون

محافظة جبل لبنان 27 مليون ليرة
محافظة الشمال 95 مليون

وزارة المالية 3.6 مليار ليرة
إدارة الجمارك 1.825 مليار
مديرية الشؤون العقارية 1.672 مليار
المديرية العامة للطرق والمباني 399 مليون
المديرية العامة للتنظيم المدني 460 مليون
المديرية العامة للنقل البري والبحري 946 مليون

الجيش اللبناني 2 مليار
المديرية العامة للتربية- التعليم الأساسي 19 مليار
التعليم الثانوي 10 مليار
مديرية الصحة العامة 1.183 مليار
المختبرالمركزي للصحة العامة 51 مليون

وزارة الاقتصاد والتجارة 937 مليون
وزارة الزراعة 1.190 مليار
المديرية العامة للتعاونيات 30 مليون
البريد 325 مليون ليرة
وزارة العمل 820 مليون
وزارة الإعلام 40 مليون
وزارة الطاقة والمياه 150 مليون
المديرية العامة للنفط 290 مليون
وزارة الثقافة 670 مليون
وزارة البيئة 640 مليون
وزارة المهجرين 1.013 مليار
وزارة الشباب والرياضة 355 مليون
وزارة الشؤون الاجتماعية 265 مليون
وزارة الصناعة 496 مليون

علما انه في بيروت وحدها تمتلك الدولة اللبنانية 235 عقاراً

Is the financial and economic downfall of Lebanon that inevitable?

We keep hearing that Lebanon is Not bankrupt but plainly robbed dry for 40 years by the militia/mafia “leaders” of the civil war, and still officially in power.

That was true until recently: “rien ne va plus” anymore and this new government is as inefficient and rotten as the previous ones.

Behaving as Greece did by avoiding to grapple with its bankrupt state of affairs, until it dawned on it that drastic reforms are inevitable, will reduce the Lebanese people to wretchedness for years to come

ترقب انهيار الدولة اللبنانية بين الربع الاخير لسنة ٢٠١٩ والربع الاول لسنه ٢٠٢٠

معطيات خطرة وانهيار يلوح في الافق والسلطة السياسية سلمت بالامر الواقع، فرصة انقاذ البلد ذهبت ولا احد يستطيع فعل شيئ لتجنب الكارثة فالدولة امام خيارين اما اعلان الافلاس او كسر الاستقرار النقدي لمستويات خيالية هذا الكلام مبني على المعطيات التالية:

١- قدرة كلفة سلسلة الرتب والرواتب ب ٨٠٠ مليون دولار في السنه اما في الواقع الكلفة تخطت ١.٨ مليار دولار اي بفارق مليار دولار ( المرجع وزارة المالية)

٢- زيادة الضرائب التى اقرتها حكومة استعادة الثقة اتت بنتائج عكسية فإرادات الدولة تناقصت بدل ان تزيد (المرجع وزارة المالية)

٣- توظيف انتخابي لاكثر من ٥٠٠٠ شخص كسر ظهر الدولة ( المرجع النائب ابراهيم كنعان)

٤- استحقاق الاموال المستدانه بمؤتمر باريس ٣ في حزيران المقبل والمقدرة ب ١٢ مليار دولار ومن المعلوم ان الدولة لا تسطيع تسديد هذا المبلغ سيدخل مصرف لبنان على الخط لتسديد المبلغ المطلوب ليتدهور احتياطي النقدي من العملات الاحنبية من ٤٣ مليار دولار الى ٣١ مليار دولار

٥- من بعد شهر حزيران سيطرح المركزي المزيد من سندات اليورو بوند وسندات بالدولار الامركي لتعويض النقص الحاد في احتياطي

٦- ارتفاع خدمة الدين لمستويات كارثية تتخطى ٧٠٪؜ من ايرادات الدولة نتيجةاستبدال قروض باريس٣ مدعومة الفوائد بسندات كلفتها عالية

٧- ارتفاع كلفة التأمين على السندات لمستوى قياسي تتخطى كلفتها اثناء الازمه الاقتصادية سنة ٢٠٠٨ ( المرجع البنك المركزي)

٨-قله ثقه الموديعين بالمصارف اللبنانيه حيث تجلى ذلك في سحب اكثر من ٢٤ مليار دولار خلال الاسبوعيين الاخيرين ( حسب تقرير المركزي لشهر آذار ٢٠١٩)

٩- اقفال عدد كبير من الشركات التجاريه في الربع الاول لهذه السنه

١٠- ازمة الاسكان وازمة الرواتب والتقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي وتعويضات نهاية الخدمة

١١- عدم قدرة الدولة اقرار ميزانية ٢٠١٩ لطمس كارثة العجز قدر المستطاع لتأخير اعلان وفاة مؤتمر سيدر المشروط بإصلاحات.

المتوقع في نهاية العام الحالي ان تتخطى كلفة خدمة الدين العام وعجز الكهرباء جميع ارادات الدولة ولا يتبقى ليرة واحدة لدفع اجور الموظفين في القطاع العام من جيش وقوى امنية ومؤسسات تربوية وغيرها.

adonis49

adonis49

adonis49

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