Adonis Diaries

Archive for November 8th, 2008

What future for our kids? Hang on buddy! (November 8, 2008)

            Regardless of a scenario or a combination of scenarios, there are trends that have definite paths in the foreseeable future. For example:

1.              Population on Earth will continue to increase; it might or might not reach a plateau.

2.              Potable water will dwindle and its quality will deteriorate fast.

3.              Quantity of water for irrigation will diminish.

4.              Degradation of the soil for agriculture will resume its fast pace because of intensive methods and increase in fertilizers and pesticides and deforestation and acid rains…

5.              Cultivable lands will shrink to make rooms for increased infrastructures and habitable estates.

6.              The virgin forests in the Amazon, Canada, and Africa are disappearing much quicker than reforestation policies.

7.              The concentration of carbon dioxide is increasing exponentially and there are no effective policies to make do without oil and increased coal mining.

8.              Cheaper car productions in China and India will saturate the highways and deplete even faster the oil reserves.

9.              The prices of medicines and chemical products will shoot to the roofs because of lack of oil and the necessary ingredients in the equatorial forests.

10.           The ozone layer will continue is depletion process.

11.           Biological diversity will no longer be that diverse.

12.           Maritime sources of protein are already scarce and polluted.

13.           Renewable sources of energy will not match the ever increase in demands on energies.

14.           Concentration of people in mega cities; since China joined the free market 150 million Chinese peasants flocked to the major cities and the same trend is going on in India and everywhere.

Shall I go on?  There are several scenarios to remedy to this bleak future; not necessarily to stop the trends, but just to maintain the survival of human species a while longer. There are at least four scenarios. First, we might very plausible maintain the free market economy, consumerism, multinationals and higher rate of growth.  This policy has proven its catastrophic effects but no alternative economic policies are studied seriously.

            The second scenario is security first for the rich nations; the poor immigrants would be warded off these “islands” of prosperity and affluence and let the third world go to hell.  This scenario is gaining ground in Europe and the USA and tighter measures to exclude the other non-developed populations have been in place for some time.

            The third scenario is for the western nations to coordinate political policies through financial incentives and tax cuts and centralized planning with fixed objectives. Obviously, these centralized policies will be heavily biased toward the life-style of the developed and rich nations.

            The fourth scenario can be summarized by Gandhi’s statement: ” True civilization is not the multiplication to infinity the wants of man, but their deliberate limitation so that to allow each individual to share what is essential for survival”.  It is fundamentally a strategy of long term durability to maintaining the survival process by relying on the basic necessities.  This scenario screams for drastic cultural change in our behavior and consumption and the quest for renewable matters and sources of energies.

Well, we cannot expect the western civilization to make a dent in the fourth scenario; not because they lack moral character but because of the daily pressures to fit in a well established consumerism society.  This is basically the lesson of history that the vast majority has to sacrifice so that the very few could enjoy life to blotting!

In the meantime, there are these rarest of events or natural cataclysms that re-establish equilibrium to Earth survival and rejuvenation.  This time around it is man that would have been the catalyst. Human spices might or might not survive.  One thing is certain; if human kind survives the same cycle of development will recur, unless the fourth scenario culture has been inculcated deep in our psychic or animal instincts.

Have I increased your doze of pessimism? Anyway, we are all living a worried life to the benefit of the entertainment industries.  No wonder that terrorist activities are increasing; that mass destruction philosophies are common policies; that vast “collateral damages” are acceptable; that extreme, salafist behavior are widespread among all religions and sects; that mysticism is gaining wide disciples, and that patience for rational discussion is dwindling!  I would not kill your grain of hope.  Hang on buddy.

Open letter to President Obama (part 3) (November 7, 2008)


Mr. President Obama; this my last trilogy of open letters to you.  I have published yesterday a letter congratulating you and the people of the USA on their bold choice.  I listened to the joy of billions of people around the world and the “Hope and Change” of hundred of Nations that took your message at heart, simply because this world dearly wanted to hold on to hope and change after a catastrophic decade lead by the Christian conservatives or better known as the new Christian-Jews of this century.  I had apprehensions and I stated them as boldly as the US citizens voted you in.

And then I read the comments of Ralph Nader, the lead defender for the “consumers”, in his article “Hope and Change” about your character during your electoral campaigns for Senate and then for the Presidency, and Nader knows much better about your character and he followed closely your progress.  I should have doubts, Mr. President, about what you mean by “Hope and Change” and whether they coincide with what the little people in the USA and the world take for granted.

As for the citizens of the USA, if you succeed in activating the general health coverage promptly then you would have achieved the basic minimum: you cannot have the economy back on track if the little people are constantly worrying about their health and safety and their expectancy for a better life shot to smithereens in its infancy.

            I read that during your whole campaign you were very shy to recall your origins, from your father side a Black from Kenya and a Moslem to boot; your childhood upbringing in Indonesia, and your other non-white adoptive grandmothers.  You never visited a mosque while even George W. Bush had sense enough to visit main mosques at crucial moments when the Moslems in the USA were very apprehensive. You were very shy indeed to mentioning the little people and the minorities during the campaign and then, miracle of miracle, you remembered them at your “victory” speech without much conviction or intentions at investing much time to their plight later on.  Mr. President, your are the adoptive son of many communities around the world and lately academia and political circles; you are literarily the President of the world.   Very rare are the hard working immigrants or minorities or color tainted who denigrate and disdain their origins and their communities that were the sources of their potentials and millions of hard to get-by communities need an adoptive supporter.

            Ralph Nader reminded us that the crux of your program is to relieve those earning less than $250,000 from taxes, as if the cost of living has increased after the downturn of the economy and this period of deflation! 

Nader reminded us how you fawned to the AIPAC Israeli hard line lobby when over 60% of the Israelis want the peace process to progress at a higher speed.  Now that the Palestinians and Israelis are converging toward peace you want to take the reverse direction, why?  Why when many Israeli political parties are communicating directly with the democratically elected Palestinian Hamas you stated that you would not?  Mr. President, we sincerely hope that another miracle in diplomatic change would materialize outside your campaign lack of character behavior.

            I read today that your first two choices for important offices went to hard line Zionists. You will be lending an ear each day and very frequently to your chief-of–staff Emanuel; your special envoy to the Middle–East is another hard line Zionist.  Evidently, peace and stability in this region is not in the offing from the start!

            Mr. President, the talking heads on financial problems have been focusing on the “how” mechanism for the current crisis.  Would you order a full fledge investigation to unravel the “what, who, and why” this crisis came to be? This financial crisis is not the first and will not be the last so may we get a report written in plain language for the benefit of all?

            Mr. President, there are two images that the people cannot forgive their leaders and representatives. First, the image that their leader is training the people to cower when the tough gets going in the reform challenges. Second, the image that their leader is mainly shuffling winds instead of putting bread on their tables.  Before you deliver a speech, please make sure to start expounding on your decisions and actions that delivered bread and butter; then, and only then you may soar high on abstract notions and no harm would be done!




November 2008

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