Adonis Diaries

Future for our kids?

Posted on: December 9, 2008

What future for our kids? Hang on buddy! (November 8, 2008)

            Regardless of a scenario or a combination of scenarios, there are trends that have definite paths in the foreseeable future. For example:

1.              Population on Earth will continue to increase; it might or might not reach a plateau.

2.              Potable water will dwindle and its quality will deteriorate fast.

3.              Quantity of water for irrigation will diminish.

4.              Degradation of the soil for agriculture will resume its fast pace because of intensive methods and increase in fertilizers and pesticides and deforestation and acid rains…

5.              Cultivable lands will shrink to make rooms for increased infrastructures and habitable estates.

6.              The virgin forests in the Amazon, Canada, and Africa are disappearing much quicker than reforestation policies.

7.              The concentration of carbon dioxide is increasing exponentially and there are no effective policies to make do without oil and increased coal mining.

8.              Cheaper car productions in China and India will saturate the highways and deplete even faster the oil reserves.

9.              The prices of medicines and chemical products will shoot to the roofs because of lack of oil and the necessary ingredients in the equatorial forests.

10.           The ozone layer will continue is depletion process.

11.           Biological diversity will no longer be that diverse.

12.           Maritime sources of protein are already scarce and polluted.

13.           Renewable sources of energy will not match the ever increase in demands on energies.

14.           Concentration of people in mega cities; since China joined the free market economy 150 million Chinese peasants flocked to the major cities and the same trend in India and everywhere.

Shall I go on?  There are several scenarios to remedy to this bleak future; not necessarily to stop the trends, but just to maintain the survival of human species a while longer. There are at least four scenarios. First, we might very plausible maintain the free market economy, consumerism, multinationals and higher rate of growth.  This policy has proven its catastrophic effects but no alternative economic policies are studied seriously.

            The second scenario is security first for the rich nations; the poor immigrants would be warded off these “islands” of prosperity and affluence and let the third world go to hell.  This scenario is gaining ground in Europe and the USA and tighter measures to exclude the other non-developed populations have been in place for some time.

            The third scenario is for the western nations to coordinate political policies through financial incentives and tax cuts and centralized planning with fixed objectives. Obviously, these centralized policies will be heavily biased toward the life-style of the developed and rich nations.

            The fourth scenario can be summarized by Gandhi’s statement: ” True civilization is not the multiplication to infinity the wants of man, but their deliberate limitation so that to allow each individual to share what is essential for survival”.  It is fundamentally a strategy of long term durability to maintaining the survival process by relying on the basic necessities.  This scenario screams for drastic cultural change in our behavior and consumption and the quest for renewable matters and sources of energies.

Well, we cannot expect the western civilization to make a dent in the fourth scenario; not because they lack moral character but because of the daily pressures to fit in a well established consumerism society.  This is basically the lesson of history that the vast majority has to sacrifice so that the very few could enjoy life to blotting!

In the meantime, there are these rarest of events or natural cataclysms that re-establish equilibrium to Earth survival and rejuvenation.  This time around it is man that would have been the catalyst. Human spices might or might not survive.  One thing is certain; if human kind survives the same cycle of development will recur, unless the fourth scenario culture has been inculcated deep in our psychic or animal instincts.

Have I increased your doze of pessimism? Anyway, we are all living a worried life to the benefit of the entertainment industries.  No wonder that terrorist activities are increasing; that mass destruction philosophies are common policies; that vast “collateral damages” are acceptable; that extreme, salafist behavior are widespread among all religions and sects; that mysticism is gaining wide disciples, and that patience for rational discussion is dwindling!  I would not kill your grain of hope.  Hang on buddy.

4 Responses to "Future for our kids?"

I can’t agree with most of the things that you said. For example:

1. Population on Earth will continue to increase; it might or might not reach a plateau.

Increase where??? And what people will make it increase – of what nationality, ethnicity, etc.?

Items 2 and 3 – how do you know?

Item 5 – there is a great deal of lands that have not even been started to cultivate by us. So if land A turns into habitable estates, for example, then land B (which has never been used for anything but is arable) will compensate.

Item 8 – the manufacturers are planning to produce cars that run on alternative energy. So you can eliminate even that as one of the world’s concerns.

Item 13 – how do you know? Leave this to the professionals. They know a lot more than you and me combined.

Item 14 – it’s disturbing, I agree with you but I think that urbanization will soon start to reverse. One of the world’s concerns used to be that population density will significantly increase in the western countries. Nowadays, at a time of a world financial crisis and global economic recession, what we all see is that both legal and illegal immigrants are returning to their countries. Even people seeking asylum are not that many.

Moreover, if each of us, human beings, had lived on Gandhi’s principles, no progress would have been made so far. Computers are not basic necessities. Compare the time and place where Gandhi lived to the time and place where we live – obviously his principles are dysfunctional in the today’s society.

My problem is with the “professionals” who are at the hire of political institutions. From where do you think the funds are coming from? Benevolent associations? If we are unable to see how the ecosystem is deteriorating and we are just waiting for the green lights from the professionals then we are in great danger. I understand that you need a positive hope for the better and there is nothing wrong with that, as long as we do not resume fooling reality.

So what you are saying is that politicians want it to be that way and that’s why they probably tell the professionals not to push themsleves hard in inventing things that could save the ecosystem? Is that what you mean?

follow the money trail to its sources. Unlike other States, finance comes before politics in the USA.

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December 2008

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