Adonis Diaries

Archive for June 3rd, 2010

Maybe the commentators are wrong in their analyses, but it is worth reporting the various viewpoints of the commentators’ interpretations.  Israel landing on the leading Turkish “peace boat” is definitely a pre-medidated activity to humiliating Turkey of Erdogan.  

Possibly, Israel meant to humiliate, face to face, Turkish members of the “peace boat” and maybe injuring a few of them.  It would be incomprehensible to understand why Israel would have decided on a slaughter (19 dead and dozens injured).  With the current neurotic Israeli government, everything is possible.  After all, Israel’s policies are based on grand scale State terrorist activities since the inception of the Zionist movement.

Israel’s objective was to warn Turkey of Erdogan that Israel is very unhappy with Turkey’s new drive to be the main player in the Near East conflict:  Turkey is supposed to have a unique political position which is total and unconditional support to the State of Israel; Turkey is to keep its tradition of very lukewarm foreign policies with Arab States.

Personally, I think that Israel is sending the message to the political opponents of Erdogen and his party.  The message is: “Israel can and is ready to destabilize Turkey for the opposition to return to power and resume the unconditional support to Israel.”  This bold tactic is doomed to fail because Turkish citizens would not be humiliated with military antics. 

The Kurdish separatist movement is serious about Turkey’s openess for negotiations to putting an end to this civil war that dragged on for too long and has to end.  So far, Israel has managed to infiltrate a few Kurdish radical factions that are resuming the fight; the entire excercise cannot last long when Turkey is humiliated militarily.

A few commentators would like you to believe that the US administration of Obama did not change policies of unconditional support to Israel; they allude that Obama agreed on Israel’s plan to destabilize Turkey.  That would make no sense at all:  Turkey is in fact the main regional power that the US would never relinquish or weaken under any condition. 

Most probably, the US might have encouraged this stupid Israeli government into more stupid decisions to let it fall quicker as a rotten fruit.  The US would be pleased with a new Israeli government that is more rational and more diplomatically inclined to negotiating a peace treaty with the Palestinian Authority that the US badly need at this junction; the sooner the better.

Egypt of Mubarak is the sole winner if Egypt sustains it new policy of keeping the borders of Gaza opened.  Egypt needed this opportunity to show its willingness to be an active partner within the Arab League of States:  Four African States, bordering the Nile sources such as Ethiopia, Kenia, Uganda, and Sudan have ratified a treaty for dividing the Nile water without feeling the need to negotiating with Egypt or Sudan. 

In a sense, African States are no longer relying on the regional weight of Egypt for resolving any of their conflict and Egypt got the message loud and clear.  The best way for Egypt to gain any respect is to prove that it is an effective player within the Arab States.

The best criteria for US seriousness in bringing peace in the region is the sustained opening of Egypt’s borders with Gaza.  Israel has no other exit from these recurring flaps but to demand early election.

During the reign of the Soviet Union, the US administrations would select the main dish to cook and prepare the ingredients; Russia would then set the fire under the pan; Europe would cool off  the plate; Israel would eat the main course.  The Arab States had the role of washing the dishes for the next feast of horrors and defeats.

After the fall of the Berlin Wall, it is China selecting the strategic regions to exploit; then it is the turn of the US to bring in the matches; the European Union reaps the problems and extends grants to developing States and sends in the Blue Helmets to keeping the peace. India, Brazil, Russia , and Turkey wait to capture the investments of surplus money.  This time around, Israel is teaming up with Moderate Arab States to washing dishes.  Iran refuses to wash dishes: it contributes soap and detergents to whom is willing to washing and cleaning the mess.

After WW2, the US was master of seas and oceans; it nuked Japan twice to accelerate Japan’s surrender: Stalin of the Soviet Union had already entered Mantchouria and was progressing to conquer all of Korea. The US got hold of Japan and South Korea; Russia got North Korea.  In 1949, Mao of China conquered Tibet (source of all major rivers in India, China, and South East Asia); the US failed to obstruct China’s expansion.  Stalin got upset: He decided to capture all of Korea.  The US resisted and paid the tab in soldiers, weapons, and money for many years to save south Korea.  Finally, China is controlling North Korea via figure heads.

After WW2, the US launched many pre-emptive wars around the globe under the pretext of “containing the spread of communism” and grabbed all the European colonies.  The Soviet Union backed “national resistance” to imperialism with inexpensive weapons.  The third world States got independence and Russia won their hearts and mind but not their stomachs:  Russia was unable to extend finances to these famished new independent States; the US made it a policy to destabilize all these new States with military coups and braking any economic and social development.

During the reign of the Soviet Union, there were many “progressist” movements siding with either Russia, China, or other communist systems against the common enemy “emperialist capitalist America”.  The US and Russia divided the spoil of the world after burning lands, forests, and people of the third world States.

After the fall of Berlin Wall, China is masterfully juggling with capitalism, socialism, and communism ideologies as tools for economic hegemony.   The US is impotent regulating and controlling the havoc resulting from the unruly multinational financial institutions.  The EU is paying the tabs as usual.  India, Brazil, Russia, and Turkey are enjoying the roles of mediators, negotiators, and recipients in the G20 group.  All other states are paid minimum wages for cleaning up this global mess.


adonis49

adonis49

adonis49

June 2010
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