Adonis Diaries

Archive for May 16th, 2011

May 15, 2011:  Palestinians secured Statehood and Right of Return

Every year Israel celebrate its establishment as a recognized State by the UN in 1948 by one vote, the Palestinian mourn and march for the loss of their forced occupied lands:  This day is celebrated by the Palestinians as the Day of Al Nakbat.

This Sunday witnessed the most critical phase in the existence of the Zionist ideology after 63 years of Israel State.   Palestinians marched from all fronts bordering Israel (Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, Gaza, and Egypt) and demonstrated against the persistence of Israel denying them a statehood, and demanding from the UN to recall the declaration #194 that assured Palestinians their right to return to Palestine in 1948.

By evening of Sunday, three dozens unarmed Palestinians were killed by Israeli snipers on the borders and over 300 Palestinians grievously injured.  The Israeli soldiers shot to kill in the head and in the chest.

In Lebanon, the Palestinians converged in mass, for the first time, to the village of Maroun Raas, overlooking Israel.  So far, the Israeli killed 12 and injured 120 Palestinians who were merely throwing stones from across the border wire.  Maroun Raas is famous for resisting Israel invasion in July 2006 for an entire week.  Israel would announce that the village has fallen and then change its affirmation by night fall:  The Israeli soldiers would vacate occupied area by night after suffering heavy casualties.  The Lebanese army felt helpless containing the demonstrators and the UN contingents didn’t intervene to warn Israel of crimes against humanity perpetrated by heavily armed Israeli soldiers against non-armed marchers.

In Syria, the Palestinians marched to the village of Majdel Sham in the Golan Heights: Four Palestinians were killed and dozens seriously injured.  Many demonstrators persisted in staying in the other side of the occupied land, and Israel army forced them to return inside the demarcation line.  This is the first time that the Syrian regime of the Assad was helpless preventing a march to the occupied land of Syria.  The Syrian regime is witnessing big internal turmoils demanding dignity and legitimate political institutions and thus, didn’t want to break the false image that it is not cohabitating with Israel since 1970 by keeping the occupied borders the most quiet in the region.

In the West Bank, the Palestinians amassed on the Kalendia separation line between Jerusalem and Ramallah and also within Ramallah’s Israeli check points, and many other Palestinian towns and villages.  Palestinians who remained in their villages in 1948 and acquired Israeli “citizenship” demonstrated heavily in this day of “Al Nakba”, remembering the loss of their lands.  Israel had issued laws prohibiting the Palestinians/Israelis to demonstrating during that famous Day.  Israel also behavied savagely on the border with Gaza, and hundred were seriously injured.  The Egyptian government did its best to preventing Palestinians from converging to Gaza; so did the Jordanian monarchy.

Israel declared the border zones with Lebanon and Syria military areas.  Israel will be facing, for weeks to come, with many UN discussions and demands of reports to its brutal reactions to non-armed Palestinians.

The Arab Spring upheavals are just starting and Israel is urged to change its strategy very quickly since the Palestinian factions of Fateh and Hamas have agreed to form a transition government:  Israel lost its supports from Iran of the Shah, Turkey, Egypt, and now Syria.  The UN is to vote for a Palestinian Statehood in September 2011.  Most of the UN recognized States have declared being in favor of a Palestinian, independent State.

Random violence, Scare tactics for masses on the move: Regimes and Arab uprising

Strong “democratic” institutions are not necessarily that impressed of your particular “free” opinions, expressions, or a few gathering citizens.

Strong “democratic” institutions are somehow more scared if the few well-informed citizens are engaged in disseminating their pieces of intelligence to wider public.

Strong “democratic” institutions, and any political system, are mostly afraid of masses on the move.  Their goal is to keep the people in a passive state, and waiting for directives and guidelines through thousands of subtle means that they have total control over.

What worry most the power-to-be are people on the move.

They don’t care if this movement is within the right direction of their wishes and desires: they are simply scared of active citizens marching on, because the end result cannot be controlled or forecasted.

That is why, in critical periods of unrest, because of financial or economic difficulties, the government and its various branches rely on rumors that insinuate to the general public that the government is in complete power of control over the behavior of their citizens, and that the citizens have to be fully confident in the decisions and activities of the government.

This fear technique works most of the time to cow the public into passive status.

Karl Jasper wrote in his book “The German Culpability”:

“The one who remained passive knows that he is morally guilty, every time he failed to respond to an action for protecting the threatened citizens, for reducing injustice, and for resisting infamy”

I think people confuse predictive models of human behavior with models for evaluating the performance of behavior modifications.

Institutions of power know how to modify behavior for a period, which is their main power.  Institutions sublet research institutions of “scientists” in statistical design, survey, poll taking, quantitative psychologists, social scientists, political “analysts”, and so forth in order to present models that would corroborate the desires of the fund givers.

I doubt that any model for predicting individual human behavior can outperform the odds of a coin flipping mechanism: Prediction evaluation models target a collective of sample people.  What the models are predicting are the behavior of a restricted sample of people, who were subjected with modification treatments, by subtle means unknown to the selected subjects, but obviously known to the authorities.

The government policies are to present the image of omnipresence and omnipotent.

Once masses get on the move, the authority is scared: It can no longer predict the actual behavior of the people.

Democratic institutions are confident that, if the masses relent for a period in marching and demonstrating, they will be able to analyze the wishes of the people and counter-attack by false dissemination of information and pieces of intelligence:  The authority have large sway on the media.

In oligarchic and dictatorial regimes, mass uprising is far more terrifying:  The authority have fooled themselves for so long that they indeed comprehend the mood of their people, and they are proven wrong.

Institutions for collecting data on regular basis, and analyzing them on a timely fashion, are basically not available in developing countries, or believed not be of any serious benefit.

The only reactions in developing States are dealing with the people on the march with brutal scare tactics:  A funeral for a “martyr” of the people generates more gathering of people and a chain reaction gets in action.

Many non-violent Arab uprising were successful because:

First, the mass organization managed to control the violent elements by mass peer pressure such as in Tunisia and Egypt and

Second, the mass uprising were sudden and had taken the authority by surprise to react accordingly.

The other Arab uprising in Libya, Yemen, Bahrain, Syria… the violent elements managed to take over the masses for a period, enough for the authorities to give the image of applying the mechanism of LAW and Order that “democratic regimes” comprehend very well.

Note 1:  The ultimate single purpose for any authority is “Modifying human behavior to coincide with a set priority of natural passions, for a period of time, which suit the environmental and social conditions of the power-to-be.”

Note 2Random violence is the most applied scare tactics by governments, organized crime associations, fanatic religious sects…: Citizens have no way of comprehending what’s the problem and why they are dying, and what they have done to suffer this insanity…


adonis49

adonis49

adonis49

May 2011
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