Adonis Diaries

An open letter for agreeing that Lebanon will be affected by regional turmoils? For responding before the events?

Posted on: November 18, 2011

An open letter for agreeing that Lebanon will be affected by regional turmoils? For responding before the events knock on our doors?
I have just read another open letter to the Lebanese government.  This time it is written by Tracy Chamoun in order to prevent future bloodshed… Before I comment, let’s read:

“DEAR MR. PRESIDENT of the Republic of Lebanon,

In the light of the deterioration of the political climate in the Middle East, I would like to draw your attention at this time to the importance of signing a national accord and a formal decision by all political representatives in the government not to resort to violence under any circumstances in the near future. I would also urge the Lebanese government to prepare in advance coordinated responses that would be preemptive in the face of the consequences of different regional outcomes.

It is too dangerous for Lebanon to be reactive to outside forces. The government should decide a priori on their statements, positions, and actions in the wake of forthcoming challenges.

An accord of this nature should be agreed upon by all parties in the ministerial cabinet and ratified in Parliament.

This accord would serve to maintain the integrity of the nation in the face of potential divisiveness, and would declare Lebanon’s positions in advance in the event that different scenarios should occur. These events might include:

1 – An Israeli preemptive strike on Iran
2 – US / NATO involvement in Syria
3 – Turkish involvement and military escalation in Syria
4- The fall of Bashar El Assad’s regime in Syria
5- Refugees from Syria flood into Lebanon

We should seek official consensus positions on all these matters and more to avoid unilateral action by different groups that may be directly impacted by the events in Syria, Iran and the Gulf. We want to avoid war at all costs and put forward acceptable solutions before problems arise.

Therefore, as a concerned Lebanese citizen, I would like to call for the enactment of government policies to establish the parameters of action that the nation will take in order to confine and limit the possibility of internal violence that might be caused by external developments.” End of letter

Before you read my comments, I suggest you take a look at https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2009/05/17/the-near-east-dilemma-discussion/

My First comment is that this tiny Non-State of Lebanon has always be a reactive government since its independence and the recognition of the UN in 1946. Why? This State is run by 18 officially recognized religious sects having the official duty of running the “citizens” civil status according to a caste system.

Second, the secular movements are divided and the so-called secular political parties are struggling to get a share of the pie in the actual political/social/economic structure.

Third, the Lebanese are fighting for a semblance of citizenship, to be recognized by a central State, instead of being identified as in the registers of the religious sects…All that the Lebanese barely enjoy is an ID, a passport that does not take far, and a currency linked to the dollar…

Fourth, in general, the Lebanese since 1940 are “clever my ass”, “intellectual my ass”, “entrepreneur my ass”: They don’t master their language and don’t master any of the other two languages that they boast to be fluent in…University graduates vote for their feudal lords and are hugely distracted to focusing on acquiring knowledge…

Sending open letters to Lebanese governments are of no pragmatic use if not supported by a secular, well-financed, and sustainable movement.  Four marches later, and the secular movement fizzled. Why? The sectarian movements are prevalent in our society and they have the means and community support to destabilize well-intentioned movement for reform and change.

No, the system in Lebanon is Not immune for drastic change: The secular movement has no other alternative but to focus on feasible and pragmatic programs in order to conquer the mind and heart of citizens with dignity and perseverance.

Tracy’s letter lighted on the most urgent foreign pressures to dealing with.  How could Lebanon deal with anything when the society is looking outside its boundary for directives and inspiration?

An open letter for agreeing that Lebanon will be affected by regional turmoils? Have these turmoils ever stopped affecting Lebanon since antiquity? An open letter for responding before the events knock on our doors? Events have been loudly disturbing our ears and sleep for decades. Yet, another open letter is fine and highly welcomed, but the target audience is not well selected for any realistic effects.

I would rather listen to Tracy’s positions on the five foreign pressures. An open letter to the wrong target audience (Lebanese government) will not do.

You may read one of my many articles on Lebanon conditions https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2011/06/24/is-lebanon-political-system-a-typical-application-of-black-swan-theory/

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adonis49

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adonis49

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