Adonis Diaries

Archive for April 15th, 2012

So simple and straightforward: How to resolve the economic crisis in fun?

Middle-age professor of economics, Kevin O’Rourke, discovered the culprits for this financial crisis in his post of October 2011. O’Rourke wrote on who are “The Markets makers“.  They are:

1. “The Markets” are the young trade merchants (22 to 27-year) who graduated in business  schools mentality of liberal capitalism.

2. These young trade merchants possess the mentality and emotional intelligence of Junior-cycle secondary school students.

3. They want their fast cars, slick yacht, current life-style cloths and amenities…right away. That’s all they want to satisfy their ambitions…

If we accept these premises, and Kevin might be correct in the human dynamics, the best strategy to revert to normal and natural market course, in order to ease its way out of this morass, is for the governments to budget what it costs to give away a fast car, a slick yacht, an expensive Rolex… to every newly hired graduate trade merchant..

The rational is that, with their immediate craves satisfied up-front, the young trade merchants will lose the drive to spew out countless crazy “financial products”, projects and programs to bilking people…

The senior middle-aged trade merchants will enjoy more time to actually read, study, and digest the crazy programs, and decide wisely, as they generally do?

Great idea: No longer the need to abuse the young graduates with addiction to cocaine and prostitutes in order to destroy the natural process of doing business and amassing money…

Similarly, getting a degree will become so much more fun and an ambitious project to getting higher education…

New disease I call “Beit-Chabab Syndrome”

This disease has nothing to do directly with the long civil war of Lebanon that lasted 17 years , which started on April 13, 1975 and ended with all the militia/mafia “leaders” taking control and ruling Lebanon for 30 years. And they are still thinking they constitute the “deep State” after bankrupting Lebanon, government, banks and Central Bank…

The new generations do not recall anything about this war that killed over 200,000 and injured and handicapped 400,000 out of 3 million citizens. then

The new generation is still following the same sectarian/feudal warlords that lead the militias, the same warlords who were appointed ministers and deputies, and are still governing us, instead of being prosecuted as war criminals and be in jails.

This disease has nothing to do directly with hundreds of thousand who immigrated for greener pastures and come to visit Lebanon as tourists, build a villa and never set foot in, buy lands for the future, and contribute money for the same warlord leaders who refuse to die…

This disease I call “Beit-Chabab Syndrome” has nothing to do directly with my hometown being considered The Town a century ago and is currently simply a sleepy quiet town.

A century ago, Beit-Chabab was the The Town of skilled people in all kinds of work, civil, carpentry, pottery, silk clothing, church  bells…and sending forth caravan to bring in cereals and wheat from Syria and the Bekaa Valley…

What is happening?

You have this mother living in Paris most of the year. She married her son in Paris.  Four months later, she returned to town in Lebanon.

Through third and fourth intermediaries, she disseminated the news that her son is coming for a week to receive congratulations (for getting married).

Nothing wrong with accepting congratulation, mind you.  The hicks is that all her close relatives and cousins and elder aunts and uncles are at walking distance, but she preferred not to pay them any visit and tell them the “great news”.

Most of the aunts and uncles cannot even get out of their homes, and they are supposed to hire ambulances so that they pay their “respect” to her, as if she is a big shot and running for any kind of election…

This is not an isolated case of twisted “personal aggrandisement” that is spreading in Lebanon, particularly imported from overseas immigrants who consider Lebanon a short stop for hectic vacation activities and hubris.

This weird “culture” is not even acquired from overseas, but a blend of everything bad that the Lebanese confused imagination and distorted psychic know how to combine into the most ridiculous behavior…

A couple of years ago, these immigrants used to throw a dinner or invite the elders and close cousins to a restaurant as a gesture of saying: “Sorry, our time is limited and we could not visit with you individually. Please accept our good intention…”

The couple came and left, and I don’t know how many decided to swallow their humiliation, bought a $200 gift…just to show respect to the mother…who didn’t even finish secondary school, and is young enough to resume studying if she put her mind into it.  Instead of inventing crappy sick methods of proving that she is suffering from Alzheimer…

I was told that a few cousins tried to put aside this twisted new unorthodox invitation and called upon the mother for an “appointment” to meet with the couple, and they were told that the couple will not be home for the day…

And the couple came and left.  How often will this couple come and go before we meet them?

Is Libya moving wildly towards disintegration? What’s the civil status in Syria?

Abdel Bari Atwan, editor of the pan-Arab newspaper Al Quds Al Arabi, wrote on April 2:

“The Nato-backed “revolution” in Libya has re-ignited old feuds and rivalries , many of them based on ethnicity, tribal loyalties and long-running vendettas, strengthening the hands of Al Qaida’s oriented rule.

Image Credit: ©Gulf News

“Having intervened to depose Muammar Gaddafi, the West seems to be dissociating itself from the chaos that has ensued in Libya.

With Libyan oil production back to normal, the ‘Friends of Libya’ have re-invented themselves as the ‘Friends of Syria’, and are focused on that tinderbox instead.

Meanwhile, Libya is moving wildly towards disintegration. The Nato-backed revolution has spewed up some new old forgotten vendetta kinds.

There are dozens of heavily armed, warring militias, fiercely guarding their various territories which they run like mini-fiefdoms.

The interim government, the National Transition Council (NTC), is unable to disarm the militias, although it has tried to buy their loyalty. Last month, the NTC set up a recruitment centre in an old police academy in Tripoli, paying fighters from local brigades hefty sums to patrol the capital. The plan back-fired when gunmen from a rival militia attacked the academy, chased everyone away in a hail of bullets and took the money to pay their own men.

Many Libyans are disillusioned with the unelected, Nato-backed NTC, and fear that its leaders are weak and self-interested. They worry that their revolution has been hijacked and that the NTC has failed to establish a stable infrastructure on which to build the new Libya. The NTC includes several men who were close to the old regime and has signally failed to stamp its authority on the post-revolutionary landscape by bringing the principal culprits to trial — including Saif Al Islam Gaddafi.

Clamour for autonomy

The militias have seized control of prisons in their territories and are populating them with their personal enemies. There are reports of widespread abuse and brutal torture as well as summary executions. Medecins sans Frontiers  (Physicians without borders) recently pulled out of Misrata in protest at the human rights abuses they witnessed there.

When NTC chairman, Mustafa Jalil and his deputy, Abdul Hafiz Ghoga, visited the council’s headquarters in Benghazi in late January they were attacked by several hundred protesters accusing them of corruption. Ghoga subsequently resigned ‘in the national interest’ and Jalil suspended six NTC delegates from Benghazi.

In March, a conference of over 3,000 tribesmen and leaders in eastern Libya — Cyrenica (Barqa in Arabic) — declared an autonomous federal State with Benghazi as its capital. Barqa covers almost half the country, from the centre (around the city of Sirt) to the borders with Egypt in the east and Chad and Sudan in the south, and is home to most of Libya’s oil.

The region’s grievances against Tripoli are long-standing: Only 60 out of 200 deputies are allocated to the Benghazi province in the coming election.

And the risk of fragmentation escalates daily. Dark-skinned Libyans in the area around Tripoli are being targeted by vengeful militias who accuse them of having fought for the Gaddafi regime.

In the south of the country, a militia composed of fighters from the Toubou ethnic group clashed with Arab tribesmen leaving more than 150 people dead to date. Last week, Toubou leaders announced the reactivation of the separatist Toubou Front for the Salvation of Libya.

Last week, fighting broke out in the north of the country when long-standing rivalries re-ignited in Zuwara, with Berber militiamen battling pro-Gaddafi Arabs from Jamail and Raghdalin.

Elections to a 200-member National Assembly are scheduled for June and suggest an opportunity for unity. But the country has no experience of democracy and there are few organised political parties. The Muslim Brotherhood’s Justice and Development party, led by Mohammad Sowan, is the exception. The NTC has also announced that 102 seats will be occupied by delegates from the west of the country which can only add to the clamour for an independent Barqa.

There will be many security challenges when the State goes to the polls. Several militia leaders, perhaps sensing new opportunities for personal power in the political arena, have announced their intention to be candidates but are not prepared to disband their brigades, often several thousand strong.

The formation of a national army is the only realistic prospect for absorbing the militia and diluting their power. Unfortunately nearly every militia leader believes he should be its commander-in-chief.

Meanwhile the Libyan crisis has given Al Qaida increased operational room, with reports of black jihadi flags being flown by the militia in Sirte, Gaddafi’s home town as well as Benghazi and parts of Tripoli.

It is possible that opportunistic pro-Gaddafi elements within Libya might join forces with Al Qaida as Saif Al Islam threatened to do shortly before he was forced to flee.

The current uprising in Northern Mali where Tawareq fighters (Tuareg, men in blue) — supported by Al Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) henchman Mokhtar Bel Mokhtar — have taken over several key towns and cities is an example of ‘blowback’ from the Libyan conflict. Many Tawareqs joined the fighting in Libya and returned battle-hardened and well-equipped with sophisticated weaponry from Gaddafi stockpiles looted during the civil war.

Most of the Sahel (the western desert in Africa, the size of Europe and inhabited by less than 3 million) is currently destabilised by AQIM and Nigeria’s Boko Haram. A report by the British think tank, RUSI, released on Wednesday warned of “an arc of regional instability… extending through to East Africa.  Radical Islamic movement, inspired by Al Qaida (Wahhabi sect of Saudi Arabia monarchy) could well exploit to regroup, reorganise and reinvigorate its terrorist campaign against the West.”

The AQIM threat to mainland Europe is clear both from Mohammad Merah’s rampage in Toulouse and the arrests this week of scores of suspected Al Qaida operatives in southern France.

The Nato intervention in Libya has unwittingly strengthened the hand of its enemies (the Islamists and Al Qaida) just as its actions in Iraq strengthened the hand of its regional nemesis Iran. This partly explains the West’s obvious reluctance to intervene in Syria where another bloodbath is in progress”. End of article

What of Syria? Looks like the Syrians have to be very patient for stable conditions, and the army will be positioned in strategic locations around the main cities, and hundreds of roadblocks to stop at for many years to come…and thousands to try to immigrate for greener pasture due to the Western economic and financial embargoes of all kinds.




April 2012

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