Adonis Diaries

Archive for September 27th, 2014

 

The Israel-Egypt-Jordan Natural Gas Agreement and the July 2014 War in Gaza

The Financial Times article of 21st Mai 2014, reported that Israel was very close to signing agreements with Egypt and Jordan for exporting Israeli natural gas to these countries, from Leviathan, Israel’s largest natural gas field.

What happened in the time between the Financial Times article on 21 Mai 2014, which reported that Israel was close to signing the agreements and the Haaretz article on 30 June, which reported the actual 30 billion dollar agreement between Egypt and Israel?

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/02ea38aa-e0e2-11e3-a934-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl

(you can click on the picture to enlarge it)

Israel Egypt Jordan PA

 Posted on

At the following article of Haaretz, which is as you can see at the following Wikipedia link, Israel’s oldest newspaper, and its English version is published with the New York Times,

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haaretz

It was reported on 30 June 2014 that Israel did finally sign an agreement to export to Egypt 30 billion dollars of natural gas in the next 15 years. That is 2 billion dollars of natural gas each year, and it amounts to 20% of Leviathan’s capacity.

http://www.haaretz.com/business/.premium-1.601980

At the following article of the Times of Israel, an electronic newspaper that is published in 3 languages, it was reported on 3 September 2014, that Israel did finally sign an agreement to export to Jordan 15 billion dollars of natural gas in the next 15 years.

http://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-signs-15-billion-gas-deal-with-jordan/

What happened in the time between the Financial Times article on 21 Mai 2014, which reported that Israel was close to signing the agreements and the Haaretz article on 30 June, which reported the actual 30 billion dollar agreement between Egypt and Israel?

Well what happened is that Israel claimed that the 3 Israeli teenagers were abducted by Hamas on 12 June 2014, as you can read at the first line of the following Wikipedia link, in section “Immediate Events”.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Israel%E2%80%93Gaza_conflict#Immediate_events

At the first paragraph of the following Wikipedia link, you can read that on 7 July 2014, one week after the agreement between Israel and Egypt, Hamas took responsibility for the teenagers’ abductions (I recall that Hamas denied any involvement in that affair) and at the same time it launched 40 rockets to Israel (in reaction to Israel bombing Gaza first)

One day later, on the 8 July 2014, the Israeli army entered Gaza.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Israel%E2%80%93Gaza_conflict

It is well known that Hamas is funded by Qatar. Hamas won the elections in 2006 by providing financial help to the people of Gaza. In a sense Qatar bought a military camp at the Israeli borders. Qatar is the 3rd richest country in the world in terms of proven natural gas reserves, after Russia and Iran, and could have easlily provided the natural gas to Egypt and Jordan instead.

One of the main reasons that Qatar funded and wholeheartedly supported  the Muslim Brootherhood candidate in Egypt, Muhammad Morsi, is that if Morsi was in power he would have never made a deal with Israel, since the Muslim Brotherhood is supported by Qatar.

At the following Wikipedia link, section ‘Aftermath’, 2-3 lines before the end of the section, where the consequences of the Arab Spring on the Egypt-Israel 1978 Peace Agreement are examined, you can read that the deputy chief of the Muslim Brotherhood said that the Brotherhood does not recognize Israel’s right to exist.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egypt%E2%80%93Israel_Peace_Treaty#Aftermath

At the following BBC article you can read how much Qatar supported the Muslim Brotherhood and its candidate Morsi. In the 6th and 7th paragraph you can read that Qatar did not give all that money for nothing, but instead to make sure that Egypt would buy natural gas from Qatar. I copy these two paragraphs.

“….But this was not a charitable giveaway. It was in the nature of an investment. A Qatari economist told the BBC: “We couldn’t stand by and let Egypt collapse”, but the billions came with an expectation – “I’ll give you the money, show me the outcome,” he said.

The Qataris had already secured a lucrative deal to sell their gas to the Egyptians and they were proposing to heavily invest in the redevelopment of the Suez Canal…”.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-23185441

Many socialists that are financed by Qatar say that the Brotherhood was democratically elected. As you can read in the 3rd paragraph of the following Wikipedia link, as soon as he was elected, Morsi started changing the law to rule as a dictator. I copy from the link.

“…As president, Morsi granted himself unlimited powers and the power to legislate without judicial oversight or review of his acts….”

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohamed_Morsi

You can read at the following Haaretz article that the Israelis have agreed to sell to the Palestinian Authority in West Bank 1.2 billion dollar in natural gas.

But this is a small amount compared to the 45 billion dollar deals with Egypt and Jordan, and Qatar would have not probably minded.

As you can see the deal was singed in January 2014 and there was no war in Gaza. It was before the agreements with Egypt and Jordan that the war broke out. Nobody starts a war for 1.2 billion dollars.

http://www.haaretz.com/business/1.567216

What access restrictions in the West Bank and Jerusalem by the Israeli Occupation Forces?

The countless road barrier, checkpoints, roadblocks, road gates, trenches… set up by Israel in the Palestinian occupied territories are not meant for security purposes.

The main objective of Israel is to dehumanize and humiliate the Palestinians and force them to give up and immigrate out of Palestine.

60% of Palestinian juveniles have passed through Israel jails, on administrative detention, and done randomly to cow them into subjugation.

This is a new report issued by UN OCHA on access restrictions in the West Bank by the Israeli Occupation Forces http://www.ochaopt.org/documents/Westbank_2014_press10.pdf

This is a new report issued by UN OCHA on access restrictions in the West Bank by the Israeli Occupation Forces

If you care for detailed map of these obstructive schemes check this link

http://www.ochaopt.org/documents/Westbank_2014_press10.pdf

 

The plague of “default” and “standard” option effects

New Jersey and Pennsylvania States presented options for two car-insurance policies.

New Jersey advertized the cheaper policy as “standard”

Pennsylvania advertized the expensive policy as standard.

And people in both States selected the advertized “standard” policy as their favorite choice.

Default effect for the “standard” settings in the technology gizmos is a warm and soft pillow.

How many of you take the trouble to customize your gadget (iPhone) for data usage, appl synchronization, phone encryption, loudness of camera shutter…?

Government give citizens standard options and the citizens fall prey to the standard even though there is no restriction to their freedom of choice.

When donating organ after death is the standard option or the default option, decision to donate increased two fold to 80%.

Given the choice between trying something new and the “tried-and tested” option, we opt for the second alternative.

That is why conservative citizens will always be the majority.

And how this “Status-quo” bias work?

1. Sheer convenience

2. Loss aversion tendency. Loss upset us twice as much as similar gains.

3. Renegotiating existing contracts prove very difficult tasks

4. Each concession you make weighs twice as heavily as any you receive.

And how change can come?

1. By changing the “default setting” and standard options so that your behavior is changed over time.

2. Similarly, by selecting for the citizens the standard option that is the fairer of all options.

3. By reforming laws and stating that they are standard options in the highly developed nations.

Note: Read “The Art of Thinking Clear”


adonis49

adonis49

adonis49

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