Adonis Diaries

Archive for October 25th, 2019

Special articles of comments pertaining to Lebanon mass upheaval

Note 1: These are notes and comments are mostly local (Lebanon) and Middle-East events. Written in Lebanese dialect with Latin characters and with numbers (2,3, 5, 7,8) representing vocals and consonants Not available in Latin or Saxon languages.

Note 2: The few following articles of comments on FB pertain to Lebanon mass upheaval (7eraak sha3bi) that started in October 17 and still going strong

Ya lateef shou kaan fi hader bil mouazana (Budget): moukhassassat nouwaab, wizaraat, sanadeek bidoun rakabi, nouwaab saabikeen…,

The tactics of militias “leaders” (during the civil war and in control for 3 decades) is to exhaust the army and disperse him. The strategy of the army is how to allow the soldier to get some rest and visit families for the long haul of this mass upheaval that started on October 17 and still going strong.

The Lebanese  army is Not falling into the trap of being dispersed in the various villages where the demonstrations are controlled by the militia “leaders”. Let the people react to the closing of the side streets that are hindering the daily trade. The army is opening the main arteries and highways.

Saa7aat al sha3eb (centers of gathering) saarat ma3roufat. wa saa7aat al militias kamaan ma3roufat. rakzo 3ala 7eraak al sha3eb: ma fiha shataa2em and civil.

Tripoli is taking over al 7iraak min Beirut: shift in center of gravity

Iza fi shataa2em (foul cursing), ma7sourat bi amaaken ma3roufat wa hom kellat. Bala takhweef wa la tahweesh.

Ma 7ada akbar min 7iraak watani shamala kel Loubnan: kel al 3omala dabbo shenaton wa fallo. Ma fi khawf min shi akwa min al sha3eb al mouwa7ad.

Hezbollah kawi. Tayyar saar akwa. Sa3ed jaahez yet khala 3an his illusions of how Syria should be… Yalla serious reforms in the coming 6 months. Then the 7iraak watani fil shaare3 baddo yi taaleb taghyeer sectarian/comprador political system

It is 10 am.  Chariots mfawli bil supermarket? Confidence awta min 7arb 2006?

Zo3ama militias dabdabo zo3raanon. Intahat al khouwaat (mafia blackmailing)

Tazaahor bil Voitures. Shakko 3alam Loubnan bil shebbak. Moush jou3aneen. “Argent de Poche” ma kaafi

Ghareeb. kel al canalaat 3am tonshor al mouzaharaat, ella OTV: Sett latifat? Ghalat. Ghalat. hal mouzaharaat fi haazeh al saa3at al mouta2akhirat moufaaja2at kabirat. estakhro al sha3eb lal 2akher

Al mouwaaten 3am ye7ro2 abawaaton (parents) yali 3awwadouhom 3al zil li 30 years

Ghareeb. badel ma al 7oukoumi tejteme3 lel ta7aawor, bi yelgho al jalssat. Ma fi mas2ouliyyet

Mousta7akaat al dawli lel sha3eb, ziyadat ma3aash, takaa3od, mostashfayaat…

Nabih Berry ma baddo mouwazanat 2020. baddo yekhla2 mouwarabat, nikaash new election law, wa halla2?

Sa3ed Hariri moush masmou7 lahuo yestakeel? wa la houwa 3endo marraa2 bi woujoud Cedre. Al e7timal al ma3koul: tan7iyat wouza Al Kouwaat, istikalat Shihayyeb wa Choukair. 3abo al faraagh bi wouzarat bila 7akaa2eb.

Yalla. indabbo bil bouyout aw inzalo 3al shaare3. ma fi tesh (mshaaweer) ba3d al 2an

E7ssassi, kel al politicians, 7ali wa saabek, 3am yi dobbo shinaton, especially, eli hayyajo zo3ranon wa e3tado 3al moutazahireen. 3am yi shekho wa yi tommo.
their wives and sons and daughters have already fled with their cash and jewelry.
Seniora ila Egypt
Mikati ila Morocco
Berry ila Detroit yefta7 gas stations.
Walid 3am yi fattesh ila ayn yahrob. Momken 3end Putin?
Samir bi faddel Canada
Sett Rida bet faddel Gulf States
Mosbaa7 ila Egypt?….

Any more suggestions?)

All of them mafia/militia “leaders” to go home? “killon ya3ne killon”

Miracles vs. Reality

So now what ?

Hariri’s PM plan, concocted in 72 hours, pretends to solve Lebanon’s woes at long last and to miraculously wipe out over $5 billion dollars of the budget deficit without raising taxes or significantly cutting expenses in any way.

Wow, Harry Potter would be impressed. If you believe in that plan, Papa Noel will be upset with you.

So, now what ?

While I share the view that “killon ya3ne killon”, what’s the path forward ?

Rome was not built in one day. We need a path to get there that is doable and realistic without pushing Lebanon into chaos.

One path forward would be for Hariri to resign and for Aoun to call for new early Parliamentary elections. Aoun would have to agree that the new parliament would vote on a new president. (What kind of fair and unbiased election law?)

In the meantime, a technocratic government will be put in place after being vetted by an international head hunting company. (Why bring foreign powers into the equation? Many ministers have proven to be clean in the worst phases of the fassaad)

The new ministers should have NEVER been involved in Politics in Lebanon previously and should have at least 15 to 20 years of PROVEN experience in the field they take on. (That’s crap. Everything is Politics and every minister need to have political backing)

They also have to agree to Not run for the early parliamentary elections and to waive banking secrecy for themselves and their families.

This would mean that within one year maximum, “killon ya3ne killon” was achieved while assuring continuity.

It would also mean that a trusted government can now negotiate the release of the Cedrus funds while assuring the Lebanese and the International community that the funds will indeed be used to revamp the economy and to address urgent infrastructure matters such as electricity, garbage, and roads, in an open and transparent way.

Note: (We need the “Sovereign Fund” to be legalized, structured and functional before any money restitution. The framework of the Central Bank is Not satisfactory and need to be controlled)

The Central Bank chief Riad Salami has Not been replaced in 3 decades and has been playing the role of financial middleman (semsaar) to the mafia/militia “leaders” that controlled this political system since the civil war “ended” without a victor.




October 2019

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