Adonis Diaries

Posts Tagged ‘Giovanni Peri

Women are back to being the most vocal and active members in society as in the 1840’s, though the “Mamas Grizzly” are on the wrong side for the proper political reforms.  Fact is, women are not equitably represented in the political system. In economical downturns, unemployed men feel worthless and barely take on their responsibilities in the family.  Unemployed men and husbands start imagining that women and wives have the magic wand to making ends meet.  Unemployed men and husbands hand long faces and loaf around in the house; wives want men out of the house, away from their skirts.  Wives want the government to open up free extracurricular activity centers so that men are out-of-the-way and enjoying their free time.  Wives don’t need adult husbands behaving like kids, complaining and whining and expecting wives to tranquillize their unsatisfied ego.

Save a limited health care reform that is yet to be effectively executed next year, nothing is working in the US after the financial crash.  The number of unemployed is increasing, the economy has not restarted, foreign policies for stabilizing world disturbances have not changed much, the environment degradation did not improve, and the troops are being relocated and reshuffled to other “hot regions”; there is diminished credibility that the dollar is worth the expense of printing it and no viable medium-term resolutions are seriously contemplated.  Politics in the US is heavily biased toward short-term election timeline.

Nothing is giving the US citizens and the world communities much hope that change in on the way; any kind of change.  The banks and financial institutions were salvaged but productive lending transactions have not materialized.  All financial facilitation laws are encouraging the elite richest class of the 10% to resuming their disgusting flatulent life-style, as if the system was meant to satisfying their greed and large ego.  The budget for the military and the thousands of “security agencies’ (old and newly established) are taking up 25% with no substantial returns for the common people.  The modernization and maintenance of the infrastructure are on slow burner waiting for better times.

Women are the most vocal and active members in this economic downturn that has no light at the end of the tunnel; women are demanding transparency in the political and economic decisions, procedures, and processes; women are demanding accelerated reforms options with fair representation of their gender and all the economic classes, especially the lower middle class representing 50% of the population.

The Federal Regulatory Commission known as the FED has maintained the lowest interest rate ever for years and is now zero per cent.  What for?  So that the richest enterprises can borrow more money and not spending it on creating new enterprises.  Actually, billions are invested in other more promising States economies such as Brazil that witnessed its currency the Real appreciates 30% in less than 20 months. 

To make things worse, the FED wants to be imaginative:  Its chairman Bernanke is planing on purchasing the long-term loans.  With what?  Printing more worthless money that has lost all credibility in the exchanges of world finance and economy.  What are the consequences?

First, the ever successively devalued dollar, unable yet to compete with emerging countries, will reach a critical point that will wipe out the liquid savings of the elderly and retired people who won’t be able to survive for another couple of years.

Second, China and Japan would reduce purchasing the treasury T-Bills to the bare minimum commensurate to political concessions.

Third, The competitiveness of the US is far from being appetizing to exporting goods.  China has appreciated its currency 20%  up but the US could not compete:  the direct consequence was for Vietnam and Malaysia taking on the slacks for Wal-Mart and other wholesalers.

The worst part is that the government has decreed a moratorium on immigration from Mexico.  How can the economy restart without fresh, and young immigrants aiding small enterprises to restart or be created?  Giovanni Peri, assistant professor at the University of Davis, wrote in Foreign Policy in Focus that “Mexican immigrants increase production capacity, stimulate investment, and is a catalyst for specialization.  Young Mexican immigrants never had any negative consequences in the US economy in the last 40 years.  In the last 40 years, the active potential doubled and salaries increased 40%.”

Peri goes on: “Immigrants are basically competing among immigrants but do not rob jobs to Americans.  When immigrants are hired, productivity increases and Americans are elevated to higher ranks such as supervisors and foremen, simply because they know the language; thus, this process increases the base of the lower middle class.  Immigrants complement the economy and do not substitute for existing jobs except when highly educated and specialized.  An engineer cannot do anything alone; give the engineer workers and enterprises are created.” 

With the dynamic market system in the USA, hundred of thousands of jobs are lost and an equal number re-appears.  The more there are able and young workers on the market and the higher are the odds for creating new enterprises.   Immigrant salaries are low but still high compared to what they earn in their homeland, even when the higher cost of living is factored in.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) met in Washington DC with its 187 representative members to discuss this raging war related to currency appraisal.  The institution demonstrated incredible impotency to resolving this problem, giving the illusion that currency value is the main and critical factor for restarting economies and stabilizing world commerce. Chairman Strauss-Khan pointed out that more focus should be on strict supervision of the vulnerable factors in the most advanced States.  Thus, the IMF is going to study the viability of zero interest rate in the US  that is diverting investments to other promising economies such as Brazil.

The US brand of “capitalist liberal democracy” has to be revisited and fairer representation of women and the lower middle class be reformed in election laws and procedures.  This liberal democracy guided by the elite richest 10% of the population and hoarding 50% of the wealth of the nation must reformed so that the lower classes can have a say on the kind of laws that preserve their interest during economic downturns.

The gimmicks of slightly increasing taxes on the rich classes with large loopholes cannot continue indefinitely.  Political power should be reinstituted to the common people and election laws and procedures simplified to encourage the lower middle class to run for election and get organized.

Immigrants are highly welcomed…with exceptions

Germany is suffering of lack of qualified engineers and technicians:  The German engineers are going into retirement (about 36,000 every year).

Germany is readying to open up its borders to Polish qualified immigrants (preferably young and educated Poles) in 2011:  A premium will be paid as a welcoming gestures and special technical training centers opened to initiate these Poles into the needed specialties and learning the German language.

In 2009, half a million Polish workers settled in Germany, and by 2011 Poland will be depleted of its potential youth.

In 2004, two million Polish immigrants flooded England and Ireland and had hard time finding jobs:  Going to Germany on the borders will be less hazardous and kind of feeling at home.

By 2011, Germany will witness the least number of unemployed in twenty years:  Barely 3 million representing less than 4%, while the average in the European Union is 10% as in the USA (these are not the effective rates of unemployed that are double what States recognize in statistics).

Irish are back to their traditional immigration frenzies.

In the last two decades, Irish never considered that immigration will be another option:  Investment of multinational financial institutions were flooding this island and the illusion of an economic boom distracted governments into diversifying Ireland economy.  Now the Irish have no excuses laying it on England for buying immigration tickets.

Irish Parents who raised families are now packing to starting a new life in greener pastures.  Ireland governments invested in infrastructures that supported financial transactions and modern airports but not in industries or agriculture.

The game of quick wealth illusion is over:  The Irish are facing the fact that there are no opportunities in their homeland to sustaining their addictive former life-style.  The US will be glad to re-welcome the Irish who have skills in financial transactions and programming.

The US is very lucky to be situated between Mexico and Canada.  Mexico provides cheap young daily workers and capital and Canada is a vast potential for investments in natural resources and qualified graduates.

Giovanni Peri, assistant professor at the University of Davis, wrote in Foreign Policy in Focus that “Mexican immigrants increase production capacity, stimulate investment, and is a catalyst for specialization.

Young Mexican immigrants never had any negative consequences in the US economy in the last 40 years.  Immigrants are basically competing among immigrants but do not rob jobs to Americans.  When immigrants are hired, productivity increases and Americans are elevated to higher ranks such as supervisors and foremen, simply because they know the language; thus, this process increases the base of the lower middle class.”

Peri went on: “Immigrants complement the economy and do not substitute for existing jobs except when highly educated and specialized.  An engineer cannot do anything alone; give the engineer workers and enterprises are created.  With the dynamic market system in the USA, hundred of thousands of jobs are lost and an equal number re-appear.

The more there are able and young workers on the market and the higher are the odds for creating new enterprises.  In the last 40 years, the active potential doubled and salaries increased 40%.  Immigrant salaries are low but still high compared to what they earn in their homeland, even when the higher cost of living is factored in.”

France and Spain are plagued with discrimination tendencies against immigrants converging from northern Africa, even if they are very educated.  Both States are witnessing very high unemployment rates and budget deficit.

The youth of Spain disregarded universities in the last 2 decades in order to reap quickly the fruits of consumerism:  Spain is suffering from depletion of university graduates and no investment would restart the economy before human educated people are recouped.  Near-sighted policies in both States are increasing the economic gap with Germany and the Netherlands.

Russia has lost 10 million of its population in the last two decades and the same process of aging is going on in Japan.  Fresh immigrants are highly welcomed in Russia and Japan.


adonis49

adonis49

adonis49

March 2023
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