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Posts Tagged ‘Hezbollah

THE ANGRY ARAB: US Violated Unspoken Rule of Engagement with Iran

When did the USA administrations felt like speaking with the people in ME?

By As`ad AbuKhalil  
Special to Consortium News

Something big and unprecedented has happened in the Middle East after the assassination of one of Iran’s top commanders, Qasim Suleimani.

The U.S. has long assumed that assassinations of major figures in the Iranian “resistance-axis” in the Middle East would bring risk to the U.S. military-intelligence presence in the Middle East.

Western and Arab media reported that the U.S. had prevented Israel in the past from killing Suleimani.  But with the top commander’s death, the Trump administration seems to think a key barrier to U.S. military operations in the Middle East has been removed.

The U.S. and Israel had noticed that Hezbollah and Iran did not retaliate against previous assassinations by Israel (or the U.S.) that took place in Syria (of Imad Mughniyyah, Jihad Mughniyyah, Samir Quntar); or for other attacks on Palestinian and Lebanese commanders in Syria.

The U.S. thus assumed that this assassination would not bring repercussions or harm to U.S. interests.

Iranian reluctance to retaliate has only increased the willingness of Israel and the U.S. to violate the unspoken rules of engagement with Iran in the Arab East.

For many years Israel did perpetrate various assassinations against Iranian scientists and officers in Syria during the on-going war. But Israel and the U.S. avoided targeting leaders or commanders of Iran.

During the U.S. occupation of Iraq, the U.S. and Iran collided directly and indirectly, but avoided engaging in assassinations for fear that this would unleash a series of tit-for-tat.

But the Trump administration has become known for not playing by the book, and for operating often according to the whims and impulses of President Donald Trump.

Different Level of Escalation

The decision to strike at Baghdad airport, however, was a different level of escalation.

In addition to killing Suleimani it also killed Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, a key leader of Hashd Forces in Iraq.

Like Suleimani, al-Muhandis was known for waging the long fight against ISIS. (Despite this, the U.S. media only give credit to the U.S. and its clients who barely lifted a finger in the fight against ISIS.)

On the surface of it, the strike was uncharacteristic of Trump.  Here is a man who pledged to pull the U.S. out of the Middle East turmoil — turmoil for which the U.S and Israel bear the primary responsibility.

And yet he seems willing to order a strike that will guarantee intensification of the conflict in the region, and even the deployment of more U.S. forces.

The first term of the Trump administration has revealed the extent to which the U.S. war empire is run by the military-intelligence apparatus. 

There is not much a president — even a popular president like Barack Obama in his second term — can do to change the course of empire.

It is not that Obama wanted to end U.S. wars in the region, but Trump has tried to retreat from Middle East conflicts and yet he has been unable due to pressures not only from the military-intelligence apparatus but also from their war advocates in the U.S. Congress and Western media, D.C. think tanks and the human-rights industry.

The pressures to preserve the war agenda is too powerful on a U.S. president for it to cease in the foreseeable future.  But Trump has managed to start fewer new wars than his predecessors — until this strike.

Trump’s Obama Obsession

Trump in his foreign policy is obsessed with the legacy and image of Obama.  He decided to violate the Iran nuclear agreement (which carried the weight of international law after its adoption by the UN Security Council) largely because he wanted to prove that he is tougher than Obama, and also because he wanted an international agreement that carries his imprint.

Just as Trump relishes putting his name on buildings, hotels, and casinos he wants to put his name on international agreements. His decision, to strike at a convoy carrying perhaps the second most important person in Iran was presumably attached to an intelligence assessment that calculated that Iran is too weakened and too fatigued to strike back directly at the U.S.

Iran faced difficult choices in response to the assassination of Suleimani.  On the one hand, Iran would appear weak and vulnerable if it did not retaliate and that would only invite more direct U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iranian targets.

On the other hand, the decision to respond in a large-scale attack on U.S. military or diplomatic targets in the Middle East would invite an immediate massive U.S. strike inside Iran.

Such an attack has been on the books; the U.S military (and Israel, of course) have been waiting for the right moment for the U.S. to destroy key strategic sites inside Iran.

Furthermore, there is no question that the cruel U.S.-imposed sanctions on Iran have made life difficult for the Iranian people and have limited the choices of the government, and weakened its political legitimacy, especially in the face of vast Gulf-Western attempts to exploit internal dissent and divisions inside Iran. (Not that dissent inside Iran is not real, and not that repression by the regime is not real).

Nonetheless, if the Iranian regime were to open an all-out war against the U.S., this would certainly cause great harm and damage to U.S. and Israeli interests.

Iran Sending Messages

In the last year, however, Iran successfully sent messages to Gulf regimes (through attacks on oil shipping in the Gulf, for which Iran did not claim responsibility, nor did it take responsibility for the pin-point attack on ARAMCO oil installations) that any future conflict would not spare their territories.

That quickly reversed the policy orientations of both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which suddenly became weary of confrontation with Iran, and both are now negotiating (openly and secretively) with the Iranian government.

Ironically, both the UAE and Saudi Kingdom regimes — which constituted a lobby for war against Iran in Western capitals — are also eager to distance themselves from U.S. military action against Iran.

And Kuwait quickly denied that the U.S. used its territory in the U.S. attack on Baghdad airport, while Qatar dispatched its foreign minister to Iran (officially to offer condolences over the death of Suleimani, but presumably also to distance itself and its territory from the U.S. attack).

The Iranian response was very measured and very specific.  It was purposefully intended to avoid causing U.S. casualties; it was intended more as a message of Iranian missile capabilities and their pin point accuracy. And that message was not lost on Israel.

Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hizbullah, sent a more strident message. He basically implied that it would be left to Iran’s allies to engineer military responses. He also declared a war on the U.S. military presence in the Middle East, although he was at pains to stress that U.S. civilians are to be spared in any attack or retaliation.

Supporters of the Iran resistance axis have been quite angry in the wake of the assassination.  The status of Suleimani in his camp is similar to the status of Nasrallah, although Nasralla, due to his charisma and to his performance and the performance of his party in the July 2006 war, may have attained a higher status.

It would be easy for the Trump administration to ignite a Middle East war by provoking Iran once again, and wrongly assuming that there are no limits to Iranian caution and self-restraint.  But if the U.S. (and Israel with it or behind it) were to start a Middle East war, it will spread far wider and last far longer than the last war in Iraq, which the U.S. is yet to complete.

As’ad AbuKhalil is a Lebanese-American professor of political science at California State University, Stanislaus. He is the author of the “Historical Dictionary of Lebanon” (1998), “Bin Laden, Islam and America’s New War on Terrorism (2002), and “The Battle for Saudi Arabia” (2004). He tweets as @asadabukhal

The views expressed are solely those of the author and may or may not reflect those of Consortium News.

Note 1: The US military base in Iraq, Ain Assad, was demolished by the Iranian missiles, and scores of US military personnel were injured and dispatched to Germany and Kuwait. The Netherland decided to vacate its soldiers from this base to Kuwait: They experienced the fright of a lifetime.

Note 2: Hezbollah of Lebanon delivered a final warning to Israel: Any assassination of its members anywhere around the world by Israel, Hezbollah will retaliate. And Hezbollah delivered on its promise and did retaliate on the assassination of 2 of its fighter in Damascus. Israel had vacated all its military bases in the Galilee and the civilians went into shelters for 3 days waiting for the attack.

Note 3: So far, Syrian regime avoided any clear declaration for retaliation on assassinations on its soil or the frequent Israel missiles destroying weapon depots in Syria.

There were No Palestinian military groups or Lebanese opposition armed parties:

Yet, Israel carried frequent pre-emptive wars on Lebanon

On December 28, 1968, Israel commando blew up all Lebanon civil planes (13 of them) on the ground that a Palestinian has boarded one of them to carry out an attack in Athens.

There were No Palestinian military groups or Lebanese opposition armed parties for Israel to blame Lebanon or retaliate militarily.

Lebanon late President Charles Helou and the Lebanese army, stationed by the airport, didn’t intervene. The sole sargent, Ahmad She7adi,  who fired a shot, was brought to military court for disobeying order.

With the advent of Hezbollah, things have changed drastically and Israel is on the defensive and prefers to hide in shelters and behind Walls.

بلال جابر posted on Fb the article محمد نعمة فقيه 

في مثل هذا اليوم، 28 كانون الأول 1968، مجموعة كوماندوس أرسلها العدو الصهيوني إلى مطار بيروت، احتلت المطار وأقدمت على تدمير كل الطائرات المدنية التي تملكها شركة طيران الشرق الأوسط (الميدل إيست) الجاثمة على مدارج المطار وعددها 13 طائرة فتحوّلت خلال أقل من نصف ساعة إلى رماد ودخان بحجّة أن شخصاً فلسطينيّاً سافر على إحدى طائرات الشركة لينفّذ عملية فدائيّة في مطار أثينا.

العمليّة تمّت دون أي مقاومة على الإطلاق من القوى العسكريّة اللبنانيّة، علماً بأن القاعدة الجويّة العسكريّة اللبنانية موجودة بمكان ملاصق للمطار المدني، وكان رئيس الجمهورية اللبنانية آنذاك شارل حلو يراقب العمليّة برفقة قائد الجيش عن شرفة قصر بعبدا المشرفة على المطار، وحرصوا على تأكيد الأوامر العسكريّة بمنع العسكريين من القيام بواجب الدفاع عن الوطن.

الرقيب أحمد شحادة الذي بادر إلى إطلاق النار على قوة الكوماندوس من منطلق انتمائه الوطني وواجبه العسكري، تمّ استدعاءه على الفور من القضاء العسكري اللبناني لأنّه خالف الأوامر!

يومها لم يكن في لبنان لا مقاومة فلسطينية ولا مقاومة لبنانية، ليتحجج العدو الإسرائيلي بها لممارسة عدوانيته على لبنان…

يومها كان لبنان مستباحاً للعدو بكل معنى الكلمة حيث كان يرتكب المجازر بحق المواطنين دون أي رادع، ويختلق المسؤولون اللبنانيون الشعارات لتبرير تخاذلهم: قوة لبنان في ضعفه،

وهو الشعار الشهير الذي أطلقه في تلك الفترة رئيس حزب الكتائب اللبنانية بيار الجميّل. أي والد بشير الجميّل الذي استدعى جيش الاحتلال إلى لبنان ليجتاحه عام 1982 وينصّبه رئيساً للجمهوريّة، ووالد أمين الجميّل الذي وقّع مع العدو الصهيوني اتفاقية الذل في 17 أيّار التي أسقطتها دماء الشهداء، وهو جدّ سامي الجميّل صاحب النظريّة الشهيرة لسحب سلاح المقاومة واستبدالها ببضعة نواظير…

وليعود لبنان مستباحاً للعدو فيدمّر ويقتل ويهجّر مئات آلاف المواطنين من بيوتهم وحقولهم ساعة يشاء.

المجد، كل المجد، لكل الشهداء الذين روت دماؤهم أرض الوطن لطرد العدو، وتباركت الأيدي والأسلحة التي تقف بالمرصاد لكل عدوانيّة العدو وعجرفته، والخزي والعار لكل هؤلاء الذين يفكرون، مجرّد التفكير، بنزع سلاح المقاومة وإعادة لبنان ساحة تدريب لقوات العدو يمارس فيها عنصريّته وعدوانيته النّازيّة.

محمد نعمة فقيه
28 / 12 / 2019
الصورة المرفقة لحطام إحدى الطائرات في مطار بيروت من جراء العدوان الصهيوني عليه في 28 كانون الأول 1968
Mohamad Fakih

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How far has the Rothschild clan managed to weaken Hezbollah? Any resolution for the Lebanese?

This is an imagined story of how Jacob  Rothschild planned to isolate and weaken Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Actually, late Jacob of the 19th century divulged how his clan monopolizes the finances of any country they get access to.

بقلم ناجي امهز

سئل جاكوب روتشيلد الصهيوني كيف تتحكمون بشعوب الارض قاطبة ؟؟
^ قال بواسطة جنودنا :. _:.

سئل وكيف يستطيع مئات الاشخاص من جنودكم ان يتحكموا بمليارات البشر؟؟
^ قال جاكوب بعد ان تكتف *@، انه سر بسيط اكتشفناه بالصدفة “ببكة” قبل الاسلام،

لقد كان عبدة شمس يذهبون الى المدن المجاورة او القبائل ويتفقون مع احد الاشخاص كي يمثل انه مصاب بعاهة او بمرض نادر، وفي مواسم الحج قبل الاسلام يأتي هذا الرجل من خارج المدينة محملا بالهداية الكثيرة والقرابين فيقدمها للإلهة التي تم الاتفاق معه على ان تكون صاحبة المعجزة، وبعد ان تنطلي الخدعة على الحجيج الذين بدورهم يقدمون كل ما يملكون في سبيل نيل معجزة وعطف الالهة.

سيد روتشيلد هل تقصد انكم منافقون؟
^ كلا نحن دهاة، لكننا تعلمنا النفاق من الاعراب الذين قال عنهم كتابهم القران، ان الاعراب اشد كفرا ونفاق.

لكن انتم لا تصنعون الهة...
^ من اخبرك الم يقل جورج بوش انه سمع صوت الرب، الم يقل ترامب انه مرسل لينفذ اومر الرب.

نحن نخلق ما هو اكبر من الالهة، انه الوهم، ونضع هذا الوهم في احد الجنود وعندما يصبح هذا الجندي قادرا ان ينفذ المطلوب منه بأمانة فائقة ودقة واحترافية عالية :.، نقوم بافتعال ازمة معينة ثم نأتي بالمجند ونقدم له الحلول لهذه الازمة المفتعلة، وعندما تنتهي الازمة المفتعلة التي نحن صنعناها، يتم منحه بعض الجوائز العالمية بالإضافة الى حملة اعلامية عالمية تظهره على انه المخلص.
كما حدث مع ماكرون.

وبعد ذلك نذهب الى البلد المستهدف ونقوم بخلق ازمة (أي ازمة) وبعد ان يتم تظهير الازمة وتضخيمها بالأعلام نطلب من احد جنودنا السابقين بان يطرح اسم الجندي الذي تم اعداده خصيصا لهذه المنطقة او البلد، وايضا يبدأ الكلام عن قدراته وانجازاته حيث يتم زرعه بالعقول على انه المخلص، وعندما يصل المجند الى المنصب الذي يسمح له بتطبيق الاجندة الخاصة بنا يطبق على البلد والشعب.

هل استخدمتم هذا الاسلوب بالازمة اللبنانية وخاصة مع عدوكم اللدود ح زب الله؟؟.
^ للاسف لم نستطيع ذلك بالرغم من الاعداد المتقن لاكثر من سيناريو كنا قد وضعناه بعد خطاب السيد في عام 2017 عندما تكلم عن احجار على رقعة شطرنج.
الا ان ما قدمه لنا بعض المجندين من اللبنانيين فاق بكثير كل توقعاتنا، وقد ادهشتنا كلفة هذا السيناريو ومردوده المالي الكبير، بالاضافة الى تداعياته الخطيرة والهدامة على لبنان وح زب الله تحديدا.

ان ابناء الارز بارعون بالبناء ويمتلكون ثقافة عالية بصناعة الدهاء وخاصة انهم قادرون ان يدمروا الكرة الارضية بكل تهذيب…
وقد عرض علينا المشروع التالي: وهو ان يتم تشجيع الشعب اللبناني على وضع كافة امواله بالبنوك مقابل فوائد عالية جدا( فمن سيدفع مائة الف دولار ثمن شراء شقة ليكون مردودها بالسنة ثلاثة الاف دولار امريكي بينما يمكنه ان يحصل على ضعف هذا المبلغ من الفوائد دون تعب او القيام باقل جهد)، وبهذه الطريقة تم سحب القسم الاكبر من السيولة النقدية من ايدي الشعب مما ادى الى توقف البناء وتراجع كبير بحركة التجارة، وقد توقفت عجلة الدورة الاقتصادية التي ساهمت بتفشي البطالة وانتشار الرذيلة مما دفع بالشباب الى الانحراف ومن ثم الجريمة المنظمة ومع استفحال الجريمة المنظمة يبدا الانهيار الاجتماعي حيث اصبحت الاسرة عاجزة عن تسديد ديونها او دفع الضرائب ( وكنت أتأسف كثيرا عندما اسمع عن اعداد المنتحرين والاسر المنهارة) كما كنت استغرب من قساوة غالبية اهل السلطة على شعوبهم وخاصة انهم يعرفون ماذا يجري وماذا يحاك لهذا الشعب البسيط.

وبعد ان اصبحت كافة الاموال تحت سيطرتنا، قمنا بتخفيض التصنيف الائتماني للبنان، لمنعه من الحصول على قروض او دعم دولي، وبهذه الطريقة اصبحنا قادرين ان نتحكم بكل مفصل من مفاصل هذا البلد الذي تنتشر فيه الطائفية والفساد والجهل والتبعية على حد سواء، فنحن ربحنا المال والارض وايضا سنشتري المؤسسات العامة بفوائد الديون المترتبة على هذا البلد.

سيد جاكوب وهل ح زب الله كان يعرف ماذا يحاك؟؟؟
^ لقد نجحنا بعزل الحزب وابعاده من خلال فرض العقوبات عليه، فاصبح عاجز تماما عن التشكيك بجنودنا، وفي كل مرة كان يحاول زعيم ح زب الله وبعض الاقلام المقربة منه، ان تحذر من مخططنا، كان جنودنا يشنون هجوما عنيفا عليه وعلى اصدقائه تحت ذريعة ان ما يقال ليس حقيقة انما هي ردة فعل بسبب قساوة العقوبات عليه، وهكذا صدق الشعب ان كل ما يقوله او يقوم به ح زب الله هو بسبب العقوبات وبان جنودنا يريدون الخير للبنان ولشعبه.

سيد روتشيلد اين لبنان الان؟؟؟
^ انه في نفق مظلم وطويل ولا يوجد بختامه أي بصيص نور#_#
سيد روتشيلد هل تقصد ان لبنان الى الزوال؟؟؟
^ المهم ان يبق ارز الباروك الذي منه سيتم بناء الهيكل من جديد#_#

Comment and notes in Lebanese slang. Part 17

La kaan wa la baan. Every deputy (naayeb) in Lebanon, ex and current who was elected twice, consciously participated in this anomi political system every time they voted for “chairman” Nabih Berry. They should face justice and their salary is “7araam” and we should recover it.

Min zamaan kolt: Nabih ma baddo mouwaazanet 2020: baddo yi dallo moumsek bi tabakat al fassaad. Ra7 yi sawwef bi kel anwaa3 al khouza3balaat bil majless.

Dala3 Saad Hariri wa kharaf Nabih touhayye2 ardiyat 7oukoumat “mouwaajahat” 3ala kol azlaam al khaarej. Kol al 7ouloul ma bet basher bi aya najaa7. Baddna 7oukoumat Siyyadiyat la 6 months.

Kel shi secondary until Nabih is forced out as chief of the Parliament. Kabla ekhraaj Nabih min markazo al daa2m, wa esti3aadat aham mou2assassat al dawli: majless al niyaabi

Kem yawm a3ta al Sayyed lel 7oukoumat to deliver?

Ba3ed 3 decades, almost all civil servants t7awalo faassideen, iza baddon aw ma baddon: Individual moral code cannot vanquish work code in a rotten system.

3askar? wa kaa2ed al jaish (Joseph Aoun) khaa2ef min International Court? Ya te3tirna. Ma fi ella Hezbollah ta yi sheel al zeer min al beer

Bi yen3emelha dawaabet? 7adda msadda2 fi shi bi yondobet ella 3ala al wara2?

Shi 7elo. Halla2 infada7et al khottat? Min tani yawm kaalo infada7et al khottat. kel ma yesakkro torokaat, bterja3 tenfada7, 7atta fi awkaat 7iraak selmi, infada7et. Wal Faranci jaayi yestafham? Moush mafroud al Faranci yi fahemna shou 3am ye7sal?

Al wade3 twadda7? ma 7ada bil shaare3 al yawm. kel al canaalaat rej3et la baraamijha lel tajheel. yalli 3endo 3amal, m2adrab 3an al shohol. yalli ma 3endo 3amal, 3am yi fattesh 3a shoghol 7atta yi adreb. Kel siyyarat bil torkaat moush 3aaref li wayn zaahibat. Dayya3 shaamel..

Leish yezerko Seniora? $11 milliars taffo bedoun shourout. Leish yi 7otton bi Central Bank? Wazza3on 7ossass 3a militia leaders wa wouzara be2yo ma3o. La fi President wa la ra2eeb. E7tafaz bi 7ossat kbiri ka thaman lel zihaab ila Daw7at. Wa shou Judge Ibrahim baddo ya3ref aktar? Proportions of 7ossass militia leaders?

Yalla, 3al Zaytouni Bay dorr. Ma tontoro. drouri hal solta al ghaliza wal mouhalhali tefham: kafa ye3ni kafa. wa Kelon ye3ni kelon.

Ma tsad2o nakaabat al tojjar al kbaar: kezzabeen. 3endo depos fiha tzawid China bi kel shi. Monopolies mounzou 50 senni

A few facts on the robberies taken place in the Lebanese institutions: Like Central Bank 

Do you know there are 40% unemployed youth in Lebanon? This anomie system expected that most of them will find jobs overseas. It turned out that there are no jobs overseas at this junction. This militia/mafia system has to contend with all these educated youth demanding drastic changes: This is the real cause for this “7iraak” (mass upheaval going on for 3 weeks)

An anomie system is when every deputy in the Parliament has snatched a monopoly on a few consumer goods, services, communication, energy, financial transactions… and with the blessing of the chief of the Parliament (in Lebanon case is Nabih Berry who has been controlling the Parliament in the last 28 years without interruption)

For 30 years, all Lebanon public institutions have been staffed by “supporters” of the militia/mafia leaders. One third of Lebanon population work in public service institutions. 50,000 dead servants still receive monthly checks. Hundred of thousands are Not meant to show up for work, and those who show up have no official positions or jobs to perform.

At the root of the economic grievances fueling Lebanon’s mass protests lies what looks like a regulated Ponzi scheme (and that for 3 decades).

The problem will not be solved by a change of government—even with a cabinet of experts—or by injections of capital from friendly Arab states: it will require tougher measures, including a compulsory haircut for many of the country’s richest citizens.For decades, Lebanon depended on remittances to sustain its economy and the lira peg.

Fixed at 1507.5  LP (lira) to the U.S. dollar since 1997, the peg resulted in an overvalued currency, relative to the country’s productivity.

This gave the Lebanese a higher income and standard of living than in any neighboring Arab country, allowing them to spend on travel, cars, clothes, and gadgets.

Since its independence in 1943, Lebanon successive governments and institutions totally ignored the southern region, the Bekaa3 valley and the northern regions: they were to fend for themselves to survive, until Hezbollah came into being.

The southern region had no borders with Syria and they were plagued with the “legitimate” presence of Palestinian PLO in their midst and the successive excuses for Israel to bomb their towns and force them to flee toward the neighborhood of the capital Beirut (al Da7iyat)

What is the main institution that ruled and controlled this fiasco in Lebanon for 30 years?

It is the Parliament and all its deputies for 30 years. They all and invariably elected Nabih Berry by all the deputies. They all have to face the justice system for cooperating with this anomie system, controlled by the Godfather (Berry) of all militia “leaders”

And why the ministry of agriculture has 92 managers (moudir), and 16 million each one is paid 16 million LP?

And why 340 retired deputies are paid $30 million?

We have no trains in the last 50 years. And yet we have an institution for trains where the manger get 9 million LP per month and 300 civil servants receiving a salary of 3,250,000

One of the batch of the Panama financial leaks, list these figures

The first batch of names are:

  1. Bassam Yammine, a former minister assigned by the potential new President of Lebanon Michel Suleiman
  2. Hind Nabih Berry: Daughter of Chairman of the Parliament for 26 consecutive years
  3. Nader Hariri: Brother of Saad Hariri, former and current PM and political successor of his late father Rafic Hariri
  4. Tarek Sami Nahass: a member of the board director of the Hariri clan
  5. Maysara Sokkar: general manager of Sukleen and Sukomi (waste disposal and contracted out to Saad Hariri)
  6. Wael Fouad Seniora: Son of former PM Fouad Seniora who didn’t deposit $11 billions into the Central Bank
  7. Houda Abdel Basset Seniora: wife of Fouad Seniora PM
  8. Walid Dawook: Relative of Adnan Kassar and appointed minister by former Mikati PM
  9. Riad Salameh: Chairman of the Central Bank for 20 successive yearsNote: Iceland President submitted his resignation after he was listed in the leaks

What the 4 deputies to the Chief of the Central Bank Riad Salami do for what they are paid such enormous money? About 43 millions and paid for 16 months. They receive loans above one billion LB with zero interest rate. And another one billion lean at very low interest rate. And they deposit that money in the Central Bank at 17% interest rate.

ثالث ورابع اقتصادين بالعالم اليابان وألمانيا. كل بنك مركزي عندو نائبين لحاكم المصرف علماء اقتصاد بمعاش لايتعدى مع بدلاتو ال ١٥ الف دولار.

نحنا عنا ٤ معاقين نواب الحاكم من كل مذهب واحد.

المعاش ٤٢ مليون وبيقبض ١٦ شهر.

والو قرض سكني فوق المليار بفايده لاتذكر.

والو قرض تاني فوق المليار بفايده لاتذكر. بيرجع يحطو بالبنك بفايده ١٧ بالميه.

والو كذا امتياز جمركي وخرج راح و…
كلن يعني كلن

 

And why the highways and streets have been blocked in the last 2 week

Ahmad Mroue posted on Fb . 21 hrs

الإعتراض والأملاك العامة :
= الإعتراض هو رفض لقول أو فعل يرى المعترض أنّه يمس بكرامته الإنسانية أو حقوقه الوطنية .
= حق الإعتراض لا يُمكن نفيه أو إنقاصه من أي جهة .
= حق الإعتراض هو مِن صميم حرية الفرد والجماعة .
= الحريات الفردية والجماعية هي حقوق متوازية ومتوازنة ومتساوية بين الأفراد والجماعات وبنحو لا يجوز فيها التداخل المتعدي بحيث تتجاوز حدود حقوق وحريات الآخرين .
= الأملاك والمرافق العامة يتساوى فيها المواطنون بحق الإنتفاع دون ممانعة من أحد .
= حق الإنتفاع من المرفق العام هو حق محصور بإيجابية الإستهلاك بنحو عدم جواز تعييبه أو تعطيله كلياً او جزئياً لأنّ ذلك يُعتبر تعدياً جرمياً على حقوق الآخرين .
= الطرق العامة الموصلة بين أماكن سكن وعمل المواطنين هي من أهم الأملاك العامة التي يتساوى فيها الناس بحق الإنتفاع المتوازي .
= الإرتكاز العقلي الإنساني لا يُجيز لأحد إستخدام أساليب إنتفاع تلحق ضرراً بالآخرين .
= تطرقت التشريعات والقوانين في مختلف البلدان إلى مسألة قطع الطرق العامة بتفاصيل دقيقة منها :
– قطع الطريق العمومي هو قيام مجموعة من الأشخاص بإغلاق طريق بري بقطع جماعى للطريق العمومي للإحتجاج أو بهدف الحصول على منافع عامة، أو إحتجاجاً على تعثر الدولة في علاج مشكلة ما .


الطريق العام هو :” كل طريق يباح للجمهور المرور فيه في كل وقت وبغير قيد .
– إنّ قصد الفاعلين عرقلة المرور وإعاقة السير تعتبر وحدها كافية لقيام جريمة كاملة الأركان وهي قطع الطريق .
– بعض القوانين أقرّت عقوبات على قطع الطريق بالسجن عدة أشهر وبعضها قال بالسجن من 3 إلى 15 سنة . وبعضها إلى ما هو أشد من ذلك .
= إنّ الإعتراض الذي هو حق للمواطنين لرفع الظلم عنهم أو لتحصيل حقوقهم قد يأخذ عدة أشكال مشروعة وتصاعدية وصولاً إلى ما يُعبّر عنه بالعصيان المدني .


= العصيان المدني هو بإختصار عصيان المدنيين على السلطة الحاكمة وتتجلى برفض التعامل مع مؤسساتها والإلتزام بالموجبات المالية المفروضة من قِبلها .
= قطع الطرق بين المدنيين ليس مِن العصيان المدني ويتسبب بسلبيات وعواقب وخيمة على تحصيل المطالب وقد تؤدي إلى إنشقاقات مخيفة بين المواطنين وما لا يجوز ولا يُحتمل .

= مِن أهم لوازم العصيان المدني هو التكاتف والتكافل والتعاطف الإنساني بين المواطنين لتأمين أفضل ما يُمكن مِن إستقرار حياتي لأفرادهم وجماعاتهم .
=====
إبراهيم فوّاز .

Third article on Lebanon’s mass upheaval since October 17

Note: If you care to read the second article

https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2019/10/20/the-mass-upheaval-in-lebanon-starting-in-october-17-is-growing-stronger-and-widespread/

From 1971 to the onset of the civil war, Beirut experienced a mass upheaval that turned out to become a continuous movable feast/fair.  The upheaval demanded reforms in the political system that would drop this sectarian/comprador political and economic structure. You may read the link at the end of the article.

The militia/mafia “leaders”, in control of the political system since 1992, were trying hard Not to have a budget within the legal period and then Lebanon forgo the concept of budget from 2005 to 2018.

The current mass upheaval is in its 12th day. During the first 2 days, the protesters wanted to foment the people against the President Aoun and Saad Hariri PM, as totally impotent in governing and perform any change.

Their fake news and lies backfired. Even their hooligans felt shame facing this united massive uprising.

This surprised mass upheaval forced these militia leaders (Nabih Berry, Walid Jumblaat and Samir Jeaja) to backtrack and vote on the budget and all the reforms in the last government meeting.

Hariri was the first to deliver a speech and promised 72 hours before taking a decision for his resignation. Hezbollah secretary general was second in talking to the movement and declared that the resignation of the government is out of the question for practical reasons and to avoid a long lasting void.

Then the President delivered his speech and it was Not basically different from the PM, since Not a single reform action was executed in the last 9 days.

I warned that it was Not advisable for the President to deliver a speech without offering the protesters a tangible reform: Confidence that the President can deliver is worth a thousand speech.

Hassan Naser Allah’s second speech was alarming: he stated that this movement has been guided by foreign powers in order to drive Lebanon into chaos and ordered his followers to desist from joining the upheaval. He warned that if the government proved a resistance to deliver on its promises, then Hezbollah will act vigorously to prevent any chaos.

The army and the internal security forces met and reached an agreement to open blocked highways. The militia “leaders” such as Samir Ja3ja3 and Walid Jumblatt were given 48 hours to call home their armed hooligans and desist in acting as militia by blocking side roads and demanding citizens to show their identity cards…

The main difference between this mass upheaval and that of 1971 is that the newer generations refused to listen to the older “revolutionaries” and could Not produce quality political awareness.

In the 1971 uprising there were cultural events that bolstered the quality of the civil Lebanon, theaters, great movies, discussions… Should we hope for a qualitative change in how the protesters are spending their time?

I have no problems with a few protesters sitting on sofas and surrounded with the facilities of a cozy home. I am disturbed that they are Not discussing to enhance their political awareness: each one of them is isolated with his expensive iPhone. Thus, what basically changed?

Actually, you have people instructing the protesters methods of how to confront the army.

Nothing of quality comes in a hurry: it needs reflective periods and the ability to select the relevant facts in the constant streaming of the mass of facts. And be able to pinpoint the fake news on the base of good general knowledge

All the government institutions have been staffed with personnel that owe its survival to the mafia/militia “leaders” for 3 decades. You can constitute any government you want, the result is “who will execute the decisions”?

A technocrat, if Not strongly politically backed, cannot pressure the civil servant to obey his decision, especially those in the upper echelons.

The question is: How can any change occur if One Third of the population survive as civil servants and are used to sizable “backsheesh” and shady deals?

Pragmatically, only a Big Fish in a stagnant pond can clean it from the smaller fishes.

Thus, the movement must strike a deal with the government to dismiss the main higher level civil servants whom were demonstrated to be as rotten as the main mafia/militia “leaders” and who fully cooperated in this endemic “fassaad” or highway robbery of the budgets since 1991.

This mass upheaval can force this government to move forcefully against most of the civil servants that are in cohort with the monopolies of consumer goods, energy, financial transaction, services, communication…

So far, the movement has been intent on blocking roads and streets, in fact emulating the tactics of the civil war militia without being aware of their behavior. Blocking roads is tantamount of cutting communication among the citizens and making it difficult for the daily economic trade cycle.

This movement keep chanting “Down with this government”, “Down with this rotten regime”… but no viable pragmatic alternatives are materializing.

If the western States, Israel, Saudi Kingdom and Qatar are intent on weakening the social base of Hezbollah by persisting on a long upheaval without any communication with the current government, then I submit that Lebanon will experience a long protracted period of miseries.

The Lebanese will have to invent an alternative financial and economic structure to circumvent the lack of cash flow and investment. We will be going through very difficult time that will last years, until we manage to re-create another economical and financial system that permit us to survive as a State.

Representatives of this movement “7iraak” must meet with the President, the PM, Nabih Berry (chairman of Parliament for a quarter of century)and Riad Salami (Central Bank chief since 1992). They should meet with them on individual settings and on condition that these meetings be Live and transparent. Let see who of them dare meet the people Live.

Note 2: This link for a special article of most of my comments that I posted on FB pertaining to this mass upheaval. https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2019/10/25/special-articles-of-comments-pertaining-to-lebanon-mass-upheaval/

Note 3: My article on the long upheaval from 1971 till the onset of the civil war: this movable feast. https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2019/09/05/movable-fairs-in-beirut-1971-74/

The mass upheaval in Lebanon, starting in October 17, is growing stronger and widespread

Note: You may read my first post on this mass upheaval

https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2019/10/18/october-17-2019-the-start-of-an-all-out-revolt-in-lebanon-in-every-district/

The mass demonstrations in all cities and districts have unified the citizens under Lebanon flag and National anthem: this is a miracle, in this sectarian political structure since 1943.

A few may say that this upheaval has no definite program. I say this reasoning is irrelevant and is a big plus for this mass demonstration: What this upheaval proved is that that a unified people is possible and we will have to work toward that purpose.

This upheaval has planted the seed for a non-sectarian political structure.

It planted the seed for a civil state where laws are civil for personal status and away from the religious sects privileges.

It planted the seed for an election law that restrict voting to the affiliation to religious sects.

This upheaval has backfired on all these militia/mafia “leaders” of the civil war, in control for 3 decades.

These militia “leaders” inserted their hooligans to disrupt this growing unified movement: they gave order to set fire on building, break in private properties, destroy public institutions and set fires on tires to block the main highways…

In fact, the hooligans of Nabih Berry (chairman of the parliament for 28 years and the main militia leaders who distribute the stolen wealth to the other militia partners) have confronted the peaceful protesters in Tyre (his stronghold) and Nabatiyyeh with weapons and violent body activities.

The army was forced to disperse the protesters in downtown Beirut and arrest the hooligans. Actually, it is the “soldiers” assigned to Nabih Berry around the parliament that acted most violently against dozens of the peaceful demonstrators. “Shou hal wejj el 7elo. Khood hal box”

The army even cracked down in Tripoli and arrested many who contributed in using machine guns.

We have no news if the army entered Tyre to round up Nabih’s hooligans. It seems the local channels got scared of Nabih’s warning and desisted of covering what is taking place in Type.

Today, Nabatiyyeh is scintillating with thousands of personal lights: Hezbollah got it right that this upheaval is legitimate and peaceful. I guess this is a strong message against the Amal militia of Nabih Berry.

Today, the upheaval grew stronger and the hooligans were absent from all the scenes: the militia “leaders” got the message clear and loud: the protesters can pinpoint them and the army is ready to quickly arrest them and prosecute them.

The secretary general of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, delivered his speech in Baalbak this morning. He said:

  1. There will be no resignation of the government. Otherwise, we will have to wait another year to constitute another government. And Lebanon cannot contemplate this luxury since we have a short period to re-establish a viable resolution.
  2. The option of a government of technocrats will be brought down within 2 weeks by the same “leaders’ demanding this alternative.
  3. Going for another election will take a year. We will have to discuss a new election law that takes a great time. And in any case, the parliament will basically end up being constituted by the same members
  4. All those politicians who controlled this political structure in the last 3 decades should Not hope for a bygone be  bygone: They will be prosecuted and their stolen wealth restituted.
  5. He claimed that this mass upheaval was Not planned by any foreign powers or even internal parties: it was carried out by citizens who could no longer suffer hunger, frustration, indignities… by this rotten ruling classes.

My conjecture is that the accumulated comments and opinions on social platforms (positive or negative) have increased the awareness of the citizens on their state of affairs. Every wrong doing committed by a politician or a high ranking member in the various institutions created a web of endemic deep structural reality in the entire  political scene.

The masses finally got aware of this kleptocracy class of politicians and financiers who have monopolies on every kind of consumer goods, energy, services and financial transactions

Here are a few of my notes and comments:

It is 10 am.  The carts in supermarkets are overflowing with goods. Kind of fearing the worst to happen?

(mfawleen chariots? thikat awta min 7arb 2006?)

The militia “leaders” desisted today from unleashing their hooligans

(Zo3ama militias dabdabo zo3raanon. Intahat al khouwaat)

I see cars “protesting”: young people driving fancy cars, the Lebanese flag planted inside the windows. They are Not hungry, but pocket money is being reduced in this financial crisis.

(Tazaahor bil Voitures. Shakko 3alam Loubnan bil shebbak. Moush jou3aneen. “Argent de Poche” ma kaafi)

I feel that all politicians, current and former, are scared shit and getting ready to leave the country, especially, those who used hooligans against the protesters. First, their wives and children leave, carrying the cash and Jewelries. Actually many have already fled in their luxury yachts and private jets.

(E7ssassi, kel al politicians, 7ali wa saabek, 3am yi dobbo shinaton, especially, eli hayyajo zo3ranon wa e3tado 3al moutazahireen. 3am yi shekho wa yi tommo.
their wives and sons and daughters have already fled with their cash and jewelry.
Seniora ila Egypt
Mikati ila Morocco
Berry ila Detroit yefta7 gas stations.
Walid 3am yi fattesh ila ayn yahrob. Momken 3end Putin?
Samir bi faddel Canada
Sett Rida bet faddel Gulf States
Mosbaa7 ila Egypt?…. Any more suggestions?)

If the PM gave himself 3 day to decide on the state of the government, how many days is Al Sayyed (Hezbollah) ready to give this government if it failed to deliver on promises?

(Kem yawm a3ta al Sayyed lel 7oukoumat to deliver?)

The main question is: how you intend to create jobs? What kind of jobs can feed families? Jobs that can recoup the expense of allowing children to graduate?

(Aya 3amal betsed al jou3, aw bet 3awed takaleef al jaami3aat?)

The TV channels need to archive the recording of people feedback in these demonstrations and give a copy to all the deputies.

(Drouri al e3laam yejma3o ta3likaat al sha3eb wa yenshorouha, wa yi kadmoha lel nouwaab)

To current and former politicians and “nouveaux riches”: Make sure your body guards don’t carry machine guns

(Bala body guards 7aamel rashaash. Mosbaa7 ma elo mawte2 kadam la bi Trablos wa la bi Loubnan: Exiled for trying to join the protesters in his luxury cars and well armed body guards)

Israel is as cunning as the Romans: the Romans decided Not to confront directly Hannibal and instead starved his army

(Israel 3akrouti metel al Roumaan: decided Not to confront Hanibaal directly: jawwa3et jaisho wal moukaawami)

How the PM is considering the 72 hours to calm the uprising? Decide that the deputy blocks of Moustakbal, Tayyar and Hezbollah are big enough and homogeneous enough to carry out the intended reforms? And shed this government from the parties that are “actually in the opposition”, like Samir and Walid?

(72 hours 7atta Sa3ed yi karrer: al eslaa7 ma3 al Tayyar wa Hezbollah, wa yi tayyez 3a Walid was Samir. Bi hal 7aali bi sour fi mouwalaat wa mou3aradad. Sheyyab drouri yen zaa7. Walid modtarr yen khonret li anno ma3zool min kel al jihaat)

La folie c’est de faire la meme routine et d’esperer que ca change?

(Une autre revolte jusqu’a ce que zo3raan al militias tet3ab?)

And now? What kind of discussions are going around among the political leaders? And how are they communicating? Using What’sApp?

(wa halla2 shou? ayat nawe3 min al ta7aawor? ayat khitabaat mjahzeen?)

3 days to allow the wives of politicians to leave with their cash and Jewels?

(3 ayaam 7atta neswanon yohrbo ma3 Cash wa moujawharaat?)

I warned Raya Hassan (minister of interior): Do Not use gas canister.

(Bahdalti 7aalek wa intahat mesdaakiyat Sa3ed).

Just suppose the political kleptocracy class (Faassed) agreed to return his wealth, will Switzerland and the USA return these wealth to the government? About $320 bn?

Note 1: Not a single politician (current or former) dared to join this upheaval: they got the message pretty loud that they are Not welcomed and considered to be part of this downhill trend in Lebanon. Good intentions do Not count: their actions are on trial. Actually, even singers and entertainers got the message: “You are part of this structure”

Note 2: My conjecture is that the accumulated comments and opinions on social platforms (positive or negative) have increased the awareness of the citizens on their state of affairs.

Note 3: If this phenomena in Lebanon took so long to galvanize the “left-behind” grass root and totally forgotten, it is mainly because of the Silent Majority who considered themselves “above the fray“, for one reason or another.

There are classes of educated citizens who cared about international state of affairs (climate change, pollution, human rights…) and considered focusing on Lebanon society “beneath” their worries or mental “complex” level. Kind if they have a good paying job or business, then the rest is Not of their concern.

There are classes of entrepreneurs who managed to have the backing of a politician and wouldn’t dare ruin their business on “petty free expression”  (The politician had a share in the business without paying a cent, mafia/khouwwi).

Many parents thought they are part of the “leader” entourage and denied their children to critique the leader or have an opinion on social media…

Note 4: The public servants constitute one third of working force in Lebanon. They didn’t rely on their meager salary, but on the bakhshish for every transaction in their institutions. In the last 3 years, these “servants” discovered that money is getting too tight for the normal citizen who didn’t want to waste their little money on redundant transactions

 


adonis49

adonis49

adonis49

April 2020
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